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2019 Guatemalan general election

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2019 Guatemalan general election
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Opinion polls
Presidential election
16 June 2019 (first round)
11 August 2019 (second round)
Turnout61.84% (first round) Decrease 7.90pp
42.66% (second round) Decrease 13.49pp
 
Nominee Alejandro Giammattei Sandra Torres
Party Vamos UNE
Running mate Guillermo Castillo Carlos Raúl Morales
Popular vote 1,907,767 1,384,044
Percentage 57.95% 42.05%
President before election

Jimmy Morales
FCN

Elected President

Alejandro Giammattei
Vamos

Legislative election
All 160 seats in Congress
81 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
UNE Orlando Blanco 17.81 52 +24
Vamos Carlos Roberto Calderón 7.97 17 New
UCN Julio Lainfiesta 5.44 12 +6
Valor Luis Alfonso Rosales 4.56 9 New
BIEN Evelyn Morataya 4.82 8 +8
FCN Javier Hernández 5.22 8 −27
Semilla Lucrecia Hernández Mack 5.26 7 New
Todos Felipe Alejos 4.40 7 −9
VIVA Armando Castillo 4.70 7 +3
CREO Adela de Torrebiarte 4.41 6 +1
PHG Lecsan Mérida 4.67 6 New
Winaq Sonia Gutiérrez 3.51 4 +3
Victoria Juan Carlos Rivera 2.52 4 +4
PC Jorge García Silva 3.27 3 New
Unionist Álvaro Arzú Escobar 2.94 3 +2
URNG Osmundo Ponce Serrano 2.78 3 +2
PAN Manuel Conde Orellana 2.73 2 −1
MLP Vicenta Jerónimo 3.02 1 New
Podemos Ronald Sierra 1.68 1 −11
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Results by department
President of the Congress before President of the Congress after
Álvaro Arzú Escobar
Unionist		 Allan Rodríguez
Vamos
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General elections were held in Guatemala on 16 June 2019, to elect the president, Congress and local councils. A second round of the presidential elections was held on 11 August 2019, since no candidate won a majority in the first round. Alejandro Giammattei won the election in the second round of voting.

Incumbent President Jimmy Morales was constitutionally barred from running for a second four-year term.[1][2]

Electoral system

[edit]

The president of Guatemala is elected using the two-round system.[3]

The 160 members of Congress are elected by two methods; 130 are elected from 22 multi-member constituencies based on the departments, with the remaining 31 elected from a single nationwide constituency. Seats are elected using closed list proportional representation, with seats allocated using the D'Hondt method.[3]

Candidates

[edit]

Thelma Aldana's candidature was rejected by authorities in April 2019 on the grounds of alleged corruption cases concerning her, although no evidence was presented. She denied the accusations and attributes them to what she calls the "pact of the corrupt", composed of politicians and business leaders of the country. As former attorney general, she had uncovered several major corruption cases.[4] Aldana appealed the ruling, but the appeal was rejected in May 2019.[5]

The candidature of Zury Ríos, daughter of Guatemalan dictator from 1982 to 1983 Efraín Ríos Montt, was rejected by authorities in May 2019 on the grounds that the country's constitution bars close relatives of coup leaders from serving as president.[6][7]

In April 2019, centre-right candidate Mario Estrada was arrested. He is accused by the American authorities of having made a deal with the Sinaloa cartel, from which he allegedly obtained between 10 and 12 million dollars for his election campaign, and of having ordered the murder of rival candidates.[8]

Party Presidential candidate Vice presidential candidate
PAN–P Roberto Arzú José Antonio Farias
Todos Fredy Cabrera Ricardo Sagastume
MLP Thelma Cabrera Neftalí López
URNG Pablo Ceto[9] Blanca Estela Colop
PPT José Luis Chea Guillermo González
PU Pablo Duarte[10][11] Roberto Villeda
CREO Julio Héctor Estrada[12][13] Yara Argueta
VIVA Isaac Farchi Sultán Ricardo Flores Asturias
FCN Estuardo Galdámez [14][15] Betty Marroquín Silva
Libre Aníbal García[16][17] Carlos Pérez
Vamos Alejandro Giammattei[18]
[19][20] 		Guillermo Castillo
EG Manfredo Marroquín Oscar Adolfo Morales
C Benito Morales[21][22] Claudia Mariana Valiente
PHG Edmond Mulet Jorge Pérez
Victoria Amílcar Rivera Erico Can Saquic
Avanza Danilo Roca Barillas Manuel Martínez
UNE Sandra Torres[19][23] Carlos Raúl Morales
Unidos Luis Velásquez Quiroga Arturo Soto
Winaq Manuel Villacorta[24][25][26] Izabel Hernández

Declined candidates

[edit]

Opinion polls

[edit]
Main article: Opinion polling for the 2019 Guatemalan general election

First round

[edit]

Second round

[edit]

Debates

[edit]
2019 Guatemalan general election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present    P  Present but his candidacy was revoked 
 NI  Non-invitee   A  Absent invitee 
Arzú
PAN–P 		Escobar
PC 		Estrada
CREO 		Giammattei
Vamos 		Mulet
PHG 		Torres
UNE
2 June AGG Luis Felipe Valenzuela
Marielos Fuentes 		P P P P P A
28 July AGG Luis Felipe Valenzuela
Marielos Fuentes 		P A

Results

[edit]

President

[edit]
CandidateRunning matePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Sandra TorresCarlos Raúl MoralesNational Unity of Hope1,112,93925.421,384,04442.05
Alejandro GiammatteiGuillermo Castillo ReyesVamos608,08313.891,907,76757.95
Edmond MuletJorge PérezHumanist Party of Guatemala493,71011.28
Thelma CabreraNeftalí LópezMovement for the Liberation of Peoples452,26010.33
Roberto ArzúJosé Antonio FariasNational Advancement Party–Podemos267,0496.10
Isaac FarchiRicardo Flores AsturiasVision with Values259,6165.93
Manuel VillacortaIzabel HernándezWinaq229,3625.24
Estuardo GaldámezBetty Marroquín SilvaNational Convergence Front180,4144.12
Julio Héctor EstradaYara ArguetaCommitment, Renewal and Order165,0313.77
Fredy CabreraRicardo SagastumeTodos138,3333.16
Amílcar RiveraErico Can SaquicVictory111,9982.56
Pablo CetoBlanca Estela ColopGuatemalan National Revolutionary Unity94,5312.16
Pablo DuarteRoberto VilledaUnionist Party62,6791.43
Manfredo MarroquínOscar Adolfo MoralesEncuentro por Guatemala50,5941.16
Aníbal GarcíaCarlos PérezLibre41,8000.95
Benito MoralesClaudia Mariana ValienteConvergence37,5790.86
Luis Velásquez QuiroaArturo SotoUnidos26,9210.61
José Luis Chea UrruelaMario Guillermo GonzálezProductivity and Work Party23,9620.55
Danilo RocaManuel MartínezAvanza21,4100.49
Total4,378,271100.003,291,811100.00
Valid votes4,378,27186.863,291,81194.68
Invalid votes209,4444.16151,0474.34
Blank votes452,7088.9833,9000.98
Total votes5,040,423100.003,476,758100.00
Registered voters/turnout8,150,22161.848,150,22142.66
Source: TSE

Congress

[edit]
PartyNationalDistrictTotal
seats		+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
National Unity of Hope717,20417.817731,01517.434754+26
Vamos320,9397.973331,8107.911316New
National Change Union218,9145.442243,7575.811012+6
Semilla211,6915.262215,6695.1457New
National Convergence Front210,3075.222227,1445.4268–27
Bienestar Nacional194,0674.822209,2064.9968+8
Vision with Values189,4674.702181,5884.3357+3
Humanist Party of Guatemala188,2344.672186,7764.4546New
Valor183,8144.561215,3385.1489New
Commitment, Renewal and Order177,6814.411189,6544.5256+1
Todos177,1824.401205,1444.8967–9
Winaq141,2523.511144,3143.4434+3
Citizen Prosperity131,6943.271152,5403.6423New
Movement for the Liberation of Peoples121,7433.021123,0842.9401New
Unionist Party118,3372.941109,7362.6223+2
Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity112,0372.781116,9432.7923+2
National Advancement Party110,0162.731104,9002.5012–1
Victory101,4182.52171,6301.7123+3
Fuerza77,8621.93099,0902.3600–1
Encuentro por Guatemala71,6681.78066,2501.5800–6
Podemos67,6101.68077,7561.8511–11
Convergence49,2841.22051,0241.2200–3
Libre48,2671.20051,5181.2300New
Avanza31,7500.79024,7350.5900New
Productivity and Work Party29,7290.74030,6560.7300New
Unidos25,2580.63032,1110.7700New
Total4,027,425100.00324,193,388100.001281602
Valid votes4,027,42579.72
Invalid/blank votes1,024,40520.28
Total votes5,051,830100.00
Registered voters/turnout8,150,22161.98
Source: TSE, TSE, IPU

Central American Parliament

[edit]
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
National Unity of Hope626,82118.845+1
Vamos297,0428.932New
National Change Union226,7326.812+1
National Convergence Front213,3926.412–
Valor178,5875.371New
Bienestar Nacional174,4655.241+1
Todos172,1705.171–1
Commitment, Renewal and Order165,8324.981+1
Vision with Values161,4744.851–
Citizen Prosperity136,2044.091New
Winaq115,4253.471+1
Semilla108,7313.271New
Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity106,3733.201–
Victory100,7893.030New
National Advancement Party99,7303.000–
Unionist Party92,9682.790–1
Fuerza81,7622.460–
Podemos64,9051.950–
Encuentro por Guatemala56,9431.710–1
Convergence49,5951.490–
Avanza34,2111.030New
Libre41,6711.250New
Unidos21,8220.660New
Total3,327,644100.0020+2
Valid votes3,327,64465.97
Invalid/blank votes1,716,40834.03
Total votes5,044,052100.00
Registered voters/turnout8,086,52662.38
Source: Supreme Electoral Tribunal

Municipal

[edit]
See also: 2019 Guatemala City mayoral election, 2019 Quetzaltenango mayoral election, 2019 Villa Nueva mayoral election, 2019 Mixco mayoral election, 2019 Escuintla mayoral election, and 2019 Antigua Guatemala mayoral election
Party C. M. % ±
National Advancement Party 41
Valor 156 New
Todos 161
Podemos 76 2
Guatemalan National Revolutionary Unity 75 5
National Unity of Hope 314 109
Unionist Party 111
Bienestar Nacional 130
National Change Union 206
Encuentro por Guatemala 58
Vision with Values 115
National Convergence Front 205
Convergence 57
Commitment, Renewal and Order 132
Victoria 59
Winaq 54
Fuerza 152
Unidos 44 New
Productivity and Work Party 36 New
Vamos 255 New
Avanza 47 New
Humanist Party of Guatemala 123 New
Movement for the Liberation of Peoples 109 New
Citizen Prosperity 120 New
Semilla 143 3 New
Libre 69 New
Civic committees 121 –
Total 3,169 340 100 0
Source: Supreme Electoral Tribunal

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Jimmy Morales dice que le gustaría gobernar otro período". 7 March 2018.
  2. ^ "El presidente de Guatemala dice que le gustaría tener otro período de Gobierno". Retrieved 8 March 2023.
  3. ^ a b Congress of the Republic IFES
  4. ^ "Guatemala: La candidature de l'ex-procureure rejetée". 2 April 2019.
  5. ^ Cuffe, Sandra (15 May 2019). "Guatemala court rules popular anti-corruption crusader ineligible to run for president". Washington Post. Retrieved 16 May 2019.
  6. ^ "Guatemala ex-dictator's daughter Zury Ríos barred from presidency". BBC News. 14 May 2019.
  7. ^ "Guatemala court bars ex-dictator's daughter from presidential race". Reuters. 13 May 2019.
  8. ^ "Guatemala. Un candidat à la présidentielle arrêté pour complot avec un cartel". Ouest France (in French). Reuters. 18 April 2019. Retrieved 8 March 2023.
  9. ^ Ramos, Saira (3 February 2019). "URNG-Maíz proclama a su binomio presidencial". Publinews. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
  10. ^ Lopez, Esvin (12 January 2019). "Partido Unionista presenta a sus candidatos para las Elecciones 2019". Publinews. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
  11. ^ "El Partido Unionista presenta a candidatos a la presidencia | Soy502". www.soy502.com. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
  12. ^ "Exministro de Jimmy Morales será candidato presidencial de CREO | Soy502". www.soy502.com. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
  13. ^ "Partido Creo proclama a sus candidatos a la presidencia y vicepresidencia – Prensa Libre". Retrieved 7 February 2019.
  14. ^ "FCN proclama a Estuardo Galdámez y Betty Marroquín como binomio presidencial". elPeriodico. 27 January 2019. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
  15. ^ "Hermano de presidente, procesado por corrupción busca candidatura en Guatemala – Prensa Libre". Retrieved 7 February 2019.
  16. ^ Pocasangre, Henry (3 February 2019). "Partido Libre presenta a Aníbal García y Carlos Pérez como presidenciables » República.gt". Retrieved 7 February 2019.
  17. ^ Maldonado, Joel (3 February 2019). "Partido Libre buscará la presidencia en las elecciones de 2019". Publinews. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
  18. ^ "Partido Vamos postula a Alejandro Giammattei como presidenciable" (in Spanish). 14 October 2018.
  19. ^ a b c d Manuel Hernández Mayén (24 July 2018). "Estas son las cartas políticas que ya se perfilan para la presidencia de Guatemala". Prensa Libre.
  20. ^ "Guillermo Castillo" (PDF). 14 October 2018.
  21. ^ "Partido Convergencia proclama a su binomio presidencial | Soy502". www.soy502.com. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
  22. ^ Maldonado, Joel (27 January 2019). "Convergencia revela a su binomio presidencial". Publinews. Retrieved 7 February 2019.
  23. ^ "2019: será elección de mujeres". República. May 2017.
  24. ^ Jessica Gramajo (January 2019). "Winaq proclama candidatos para la presidencia". Soy502.
  25. ^ Katerin Chumil (20 January 2019). "Winaq presenta a sus candidatos a la Presidencia". ElPeriodico.
  26. ^ Orozco, Andrea (January 2019). "Cinco binomios presidenciales han solicitado inscribirse en el TSE". Prensa Libre.
  27. ^ "Manuel Baldizón confirma que ya no buscará la Presidencia". Soy502. 24 July 2017.
  28. ^ "Álvaro Arzú, el ejemplo a seguir de Neto Bran". Diario Digital. 16 September 2016. Archived from the original on 29 July 2017. Retrieved 21 February 2018.
  29. ^ "Neto Bran sigue los pasos de Arzú, aseguran expertos". 24 November 2017.
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