Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
2024 U.S. presidential election | |
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Republican Party | |
Democratic Party | |
Third parties | |
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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Background
[edit]The Republican National Committee determined that candidates must qualify for the first primary debate by polling above 1% in three national polls since July 2023 – or in two national polls and one poll from two different early primary states (of which the polls must meet committee standards) – as well as attract donations from at least 40,000 individuals, with at least 200 from each of 20 states or territories.[1]
Each subsequent debate raised the polling threshold for qualification. For the second debate, candidates needed to poll above 3% in August or September in two national polls; otherwise, one national poll plus two state polls in two separate early primary states also qualify. The donor threshold was also raised for the second debate to 50,000 individuals.[2] For the third and fourth debates, the threshold was raised to above 4% in one national poll and one early primary state poll, as well as 70,000 unique donors.[3]
Individuals who have been included in statewide Republican primary polls but have either ruled out their candidacy or not expressed interest in running include Greg Abbott, Tucker Carlson, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Josh Hawley, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, Mitt Romney, Marco Rubio, Rick Scott, Chris Sununu, Donald Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, and Glenn Youngkin.
Primary and caucus calendar
[edit]Aggregate polling summary
[edit]States polled |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[b] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iowa[5] | January 11 – 15, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 15.7% | 18.5% | 52.5% | 13.3%[c] | Trump +34.0 |
Massachusetts[6] | February 7–8, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | – | 29.3% | 63.0% | 7.7% | Trump +33.7 |
New Hampshire[7] | January 22–23, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 7.3% | 35.7% | 56.5% | 0.5% | Trump +20.8 |
South Carolina[8] | February 16–20, 2024 | February 21, 2024 | – | 34.6% | 61.6% | 3.8% | Trump +27.0 |
Wisconsin[9] | February 7, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | – | 22.5% | 71.5% | 6.0% | Trump +49.0 |
States polled |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[d] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona[10] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 21.0% | 76.9% | 2.1% | Trump +55.9 |
California[11] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 18.9% | 76.7% | 4.4% | Trump +57.8 |
Florida[12] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 14.1% | 84.2% | 1.7% | Trump +70.1 |
Georgia[13] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 18.1% | 79.0% | 2.9% | Trump +60.9 |
Iowa[14] | through January 14, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 18.7% | 52.7% | 28.6%[e] | Trump +34.0 |
Massachusetts[15] | through March 3, 2024 | March 4, 2024 | 29.3% | 66.6% | 4.1% | Trump +37.3 |
Michigan[16] | through February 24, 2024 | February 25, 2024 | 21.8% | 78.7% | – | Trump +56.9 |
New Hampshire[17] | through January 22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 36.3% | 53.9% | 9.8% | Trump +17.6 |
North Carolina[18] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 22.1% | 74.7% | 4.2% | Trump +52.6 |
Ohio[19] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 16.9% | 81.9% | 1.2% | Trump +56.4 |
Pennsylvania[20] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 17.8% | 78.5% | 3.7% | Trump +51.3 |
South Carolina[21] | through February 23, 2024 | February 23, 2024 | 34.0% | 61.6% | 4.4% | Trump +27.6 |
Tennessee[22] | through March 3, 2024 | March 5, 2024 | 15.3% | 84.4% | 0.3% | Trump +69.1 |
Texas[23] | through March 3, 2024 | March 4, 2024 | 14.9% | 79.4% | 5.7% | Trump +64.5 |
Virginia[24] | through March 3, 2024 | March 4, 2024 | 17.4% | 66.2% | 16.4% | Trump +48.8 |
Wisconsin[25] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 21.1% | 70.9% | 8.0% | Trump +49.8 |
States polled |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[f] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iowa[26] | January 5 – 14, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 15.7% | 18.8% | 52.5% | 13.0%[g] | Trump +33.7 |
Nevada[27] | September 29, 2023 – January 8, 2024 | January 19, 2024 | 10.5% | – | 69.0% | 20.5%[h] | Trump +58.5 |
New Hampshire[28] | January 16–22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 8.0% | 36.5% | 55.8% | – | Trump +19.3 |
South Carolina[29] | January 23, 2024 – February 10, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | – | 30.5% | 64.0% | 5.5% | Trump +33.5 |
Iowa caucus
[edit]The 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses were held on January 15, 2024.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[i] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270toWin[30] | January 11–15, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 15.7% | 18.5% | 0.8% | 6.8% | 52.5% | 5.7%[j] | Trump +34.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[31] | Through January 14, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 15.8% | 18.7% | 0.7% | 6.4% | 52.7% | 5.7% | Trump +34.0 |
RealClearPolling[32] | January 5–14, 2024 | January 15, 2024 | 15.7% | 18.8% | 0.8% | 6.8% | 52.5% | 5.4% | Trump +33.7 |
Average | 15.7% | 18.7% | 0.7% | 6.7% | 52.6% | 5.6% | Trump +33.9 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Larry Elder |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group[33] | Jan 12–14, 2024 | 1,092 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | 19.3% | – | 18.5% | 0.7% | – | 6.5% | – | 52.1% | – | 2.9% |
Selzer & Co.[34][A] | Jan 7–12, 2024 | 705 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | – | 16% | – | 20% | 1% | – | 8% | – | 48% | 3%[l] | 5% |
Insider Advantage[35] | January 11, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | – | 17% | – | 17% | 0% | – | 7% | – | 51% | – | 8% |
Suffolk University[36] | Jan 6–10, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 13% | – | 20% | 0% | – | 6% | – | 54% | – | – |
Civiqs[37] | Jan 5–10, 2024 | 433 (LV) | ± 6.4% | – | 4% | 14% | – | 14% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 55% | 2% | 3% |
InsiderAdvantage[38] | Dec 18–19, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 4.36% | – | 4% | 15% | – | 17% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 50% | – | 6% |
Fox Business[39] | Dec 14–18, 2023 | 804 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 3% | 18% | – | 16% | 0% | – | 7% | – | 52% | 1% | 2% |
Emerson College[40] | Dec 15–17, 2023 | 420 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | 4% | 15% | – | 17% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 50% | – | 6% |
Iowa State University/Civiqs[41] | Dec 8–13, 2023 | 438 (LV) | ± 6.0% | – | 4% | 17% | – | 15% | 1% | – | 7% | – | 54% | 0%[m] | 2% |
Selzer & Co.[42][A] | Dec 2–7, 2023 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 4% | 19% | – | 16% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 51% | 2%[n] | 3% |
Trafalgar Group[43] | Dec 1–4, 2023 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 2% | 4% | 22% | – | 19% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 45% | – | 1% |
Morning Consult[44] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 324 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 18% | – | 11% | 0% | – | 13% | 5% | 50% | – | – |
Iowa State University/Civiqs[45] | Nov 10–15, 2023 | 432 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 1% | 3% | 18% | – | 12% | 0% | – | 6% | 2% | 54% | 0% | 4% |
Arc Insights[46][B] | Nov 9–14, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1% | 4% | 17% | – | 17% | <1% | – | 5% | – | 44% | 2%[o] | 9% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[47][C] | Nov 9–12, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1% | 5% | 19% | - | 16% | 0% | - | 4% | 5% | 43% | 0% | 7% |
2% | 5% | 20% | - | 18% | 0% | - | 5% | - | 44% | 0% | 7% | ||||
Trafalgar Group (R)[48] | Nov 3–5, 2023 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 4% | 5% | 18% | – | 15% | 0% | – | 5% | 9% | 44% | 0%[p] | 1% |
Morning Consult[44] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 324 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 15% | – | 7% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 57% | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies[49][D] | Oct 24–26, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 1% | 2% | 20% | – | 12% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 46% | – | – |
Selzer & Co.[50][A] | Oct 22–26, 2023 | 404 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 3% | 4% | 16% | – | 16% | 1% | 2%[q] | 4% | 7% | 43% | 2%[r] | 3% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[47][C] | Oct 17–19, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 3% | 21% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 42% | 2%[s] | 6% |
Iowa State University/Civiqs[51] | Oct 6–10, 2023 | 425 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 0% | 2% | 17% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 55% | 2%[t] | 1% |
Morning Consult[52] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 316 (LV) | – | 1% | 5% | 13% | – | 6% | – | 7% | 9% | 7% | 53% | – | – |
CBS News/YouGov[53] | Sep 15–24, 2023 | 458 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 0% | 1% | 21% | 0% | 8% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 51% | 0%[u] | – |
Public Opinion Strategies[54][E] | Sep 19–21, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 1% | 2% | 21% | – | 9% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 45% | – | 9% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[55][F] | Sep 17–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1% | 5% | 15% | – | 13% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 45% | <1%[v] | 7% |
Trafalgar Group (R)[56] | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 49% | 1%[w] | 2% |
Fox Business[57] | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 813 (LV) | ± 3% | 2% | 3% | 15% | <0.5% | 11% | <0.5% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 46% | 3%[x] | 2% |
Emerson College[58] | Sep 7–9, 2023 | 357 (V) | ± 5.1% | 3% | – | 14% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 7% | 8% | 49% | 6% | – |
Civiqs[59] | Sep 2–7, 2023 | 434 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 2% | 3% | 14% | – | 10% | 0% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 51% | 1%[y] | – |
Public Opinion Strategies[60] | Sep 5–6, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 1% | 3% | 22% | – | 6% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 45% | – | – |
Morning Consult[52] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 341 (LV) | – | 1% | 4% | 15% | – | 6% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 52% | 0%[z] | 1% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[61] | Aug 25–28, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 2% | 3% | 18% | <1% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 44% | <2%[aa] | 5% |
Public Opinion Strategies[62] | August 24, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 1% | 1% | 21% | – | 11% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 41% | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies[62] | Aug 19–21, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 3% | 3% | 14% | – | 3% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 42% | – | – |
HarrisX[63][G] | Aug 17–21, 2023 | 1,120 (LV) | –[ab] | 2% | 3% | 11% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 8% | 45% | 3%[ac] | 12% |
–[ad] | 2% | 4% | 21% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 18% | 15% | – | 4%[ae] | 19% | |||
Echelon Insights[64][H] | Aug 15–17, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 2% | 4% | 17% | – | 2% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 33% | 3%[af] | 14% |
Selzer & Co.[65][A] | Aug 13–17, 2023 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 2% | 5% | 19% | – | 6% | – | 6% | 4% | 9% | 42% | 1%[ag] | 5% |
The Trafalgar Group (R)[66] | Aug 14–16, 2023 | 1,126 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 3% | 4% | 16% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 42% | 3%[ah] | 3% |
New York Times/Siena College[67] | Jul 28 – August 1, 2023 | 432 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 1% | <1% | 20% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 44% | <2%[ai] | 12% |
– | – | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 55% | – | 4% | ||||
Manhattan Institute[68] | Jul 2023 | 625 (LV) | – | 3% | 4% | 17% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 42% | 1%[aj] | 7% |
Morning Consult[52] | July 1–31, 2023 | 350 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 19% | – | 4% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 55% | – | 2% |
National Research[69][I] | Jul 23–24, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 4% | 15% | – | 3% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 42% | – | 13% |
Fox Business[70] | Jul 15–19, 2023 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 3% | 3% | 16% | <1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 46% | 1%[ak] | 4% |
co/efficient[71][J] | Jul 15–17, 2023 | 2,238 (LV) | ± 2.6% | – | 3% | 16% | – | 3% | – | 3% | 5% | 10% | 46% | – | 10% |
National Research[72][I] | Jul 5–6, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 3% | 21% | – | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 44% | – | 14% |
Morning Consult[52] | June 1–30, 2023 | 317 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 18% | – | 2% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 64% | 0%[al] | 1% |
McLaughlin & Associates[73][J] | Jun 10–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 19% | – | – | – | 6% | – | 9% | 51% | – | 15% |
– | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 60% | – | 7% | ||||
National Research[74][I] | Jun 5–7, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 2% | 24% | – | 4% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 39% | – | 21% |
Victory Insights[75] | Jun 3–6, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | 3% | 21% | – | 5% | – | 5% | 2% | 6% | 44% | 3%[am] | 12% |
– | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 19% | ||||
WPA Intelligence[76][K] | May 30 – June 1, 2023 | 655 (RV) | – | – | – | 29% | – | 6% | <1% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 39% | – | 11% |
– | – | 43% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 12% | ||||
Morning Consult[52] | May 1–31, 2023 | 300 (LV) | – | – | – | 17% | – | 5% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 60% | 4%[an] | 0% |
McLaughlin & Associates[77] | May 23–25, 2023 | 400 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 24% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 50% | 3%[ao] | 4% |
– | – | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 54% | – | 11% | ||||
Emerson College[78] | May 19–22, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 0% | – | 20% | – | 5% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 62% | 2%[ap] | – |
National Research[79][I] | May 9–11, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 26% | – | 6% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 44% | – | 11% |
– | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 22% | ||||
McLaughlin & Associates[80][J] | Apr 27–30, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 1% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 54% | 5%[aq] | 5% |
– | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 57% | – | – | ||||
Morning Consult[52] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 294 (LV) | – | – | – | 20% | – | 4% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 60% | 3%[ar] | 2% |
Victory Insights[81] | Apr 10–13, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.8% | – | – | 24% | – | 14% | 4% | – | 3% | – | 54% | 1%[as] | – |
– | – | 59% | – | 24% | 5% | – | 8% | – | – | 4%[at] | – | ||||
– | – | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | – | ||||
Cygnal[82] | Apr 3–4, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | 30% | – | 5% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 37% | 3%[au] | 19% |
J.L. Partners[83] | Mar 25 – April 4, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | 26% | – | 5% | – | 3% | 1% | – | 41% | 10%[av] | 14% |
– | – | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 15% | ||||
Morning Consult[52] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 329 (LV) | – | – | – | 27% | – | 5% | – | 7% | – | 0% | 57% | 2%[aw] | 2% |
Morning Consult[52] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 281 (LV) | – | – | – | 25% | – | 6% | – | 9% | 0% | 0% | 52% | 8%[ax] | 0% |
Morning Consult[52] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 367 (LV) | – | – | – | 27% | – | 5% | – | 9% | – | 1% | 51% | 5%[ay] | 2% |
Morning Consult[52] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 227 (LV) | – | – | – | 35% | – | 2% | – | 11% | – | 1% | 44% | 8%[az] | 0% |
WPA Intelligence[84][L] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 508 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 16% |
WPA Intelligence[84][L] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 508 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 12% |
Neighborhood Research and Media[85][M] | Jun 22 – July 1, 2022 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | – | 17% | – | 2% | – | 2% | – | – | 38% | 4%[ba] | – |
Victory Insights[86] | Mar 5–8, 2021 | 630 (RV) | – | – | – | 4% | – | 6% | – | 8% | – | – | 61% | 13%[bb] | – |
– | – | 20% | – | 10% | – | 19% | – | – | – | 33%[bc] | – |
New Hampshire primary
[edit]The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024.
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[bd] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270 to Win[87] | January 22–23, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 35.7% | 56.5% | 7.8%[be] | Trump +20.8 |
FiveThirtyEight[88] | Through January 22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 36.3% | 53.9% | 9.8% | Trump +17.6 |
RealClearPolling[89] | January 16–22, 2024 | January 23, 2024 | 36.5% | 55.8% | 7.7% | Trump +19.3 |
Average | 36.2% | 55.4% | 8.4% | Trump +19.2 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[90] | Jan 21–22, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 60% | 1% | 1% |
Insider Advantage[91] | January 21, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ±4.32% | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 3% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[92] | Jan 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 57% | 2% | 2% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[93] | Jan 19–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 36% | – | – | – | – | 55% | 0.6% | 2.4% |
American Research Group[94] | Jan 18–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ±4.0% | – | – | 6% | 44% | – | – | – | – | 46% | – | – |
Emerson College/WHDH[95] | Jan 18–20, 2024 | 673 (RV) | ±3.7% | – | – | 8% | 35% | 50% | 7% | |||||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[96] | Jan 17–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 35% | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 4% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[97] | Jan 16–17, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 6% | 36% | – | – | – | – | 50% | 1% | 4% |
Saint Anselm College[98] | January 16, 2024 | 1,398 (LV) | ± 2.6% | – | – | 6% | 38% | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 4% |
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS[99] | Jan 15–16, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 5% | 34% | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | 11% |
American Research Group[100] | Jan 12–15, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 4% | 40% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 40% | 2% | 9% |
Saint Anselm College[101] | Jan 8–9, 2024 | 1,194 (LV) | ± 2.8% | – | 9% | 6% | 31% | – | – | 6% | – | 45% | – | 3% |
University of New Hampshire Survey/CNN[102] | Jan 4–8, 2024 | 919 (LV) | ± 3.2% | – | 12% | 5% | 32% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 39% | 0% | 5% |
American Research Group[103] | December 27, 2023 – January 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 10% | 5% | 33% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 37% | 1% | 9% |
American Research Group[104] | Dec 14–20, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 13% | 6% | 29% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 33% | 1% | 12% |
Saint Anselm College[105] | Dec 18–19, 2023 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | 12% | 6% | 30% | 0% | – | 5% | – | 44% | – | 3% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[106] | Dec 7–18, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.4% | – | 6% | 10% | 22% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 52% | 0%[bf] | 5% |
CBS News/YouGov[107] | Dec 8–15, 2023 | 855 (LV) | ± 4.1% | – | 10% | 11% | 29% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 44% | – | – |
Trafalgar Group[108] | Dec 9–11, 2023 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 14% | 11% | 18% | 0% | – | 10% | – | 45% | – | 1% |
Americans for Prosperity[109] | Nov 19–21, 2023 | 800 (LV) | – | – | – | 9% | 25% | – | – | – | – | 40% | 26% | – |
University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN[110] | Nov 10–14, 2023 | 994 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 2% | 14% | 9% | 20% | 0% | – | 8% | – | 42% | 3% | 2% |
Washington Post/Monmouth University[111] | Nov 9–14, 2023 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 18% | 1% | – | 8% | 3% | 46% | 0% | 4% |
Emerson College/WHDH[112] | Nov 10–13, 2023 | 465 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 1.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 17.6% | 0.3% | – | 4.6% | 2.2% | 48.5% | – | 9.3% |
USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University[113] | Sep 28 – October 2, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 19% | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 49% | – | – |
CBS News/YouGov[114] | Sep 15–24, 2023 | 502 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 50% | 0%[bg] | – |
Saint Anselm College[115] | Sep 19–20, 2023 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 1% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 45% | 0%[bh] | 6% |
Insider Advantage[116] | September 20, 2023 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.36% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 42% | 1%[bi] | 9% |
University of New Hampshire[117] | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 1% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 39% | 1%[bj] | 6% |
NMB Research[118] | Aug 25–31, 2023 | 800 (LV) | – | 1% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 47% | <3%[bk] | 4% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[119] | Aug 25–28, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 2% | 5% | 11% | 9% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 5% | 48% | <3%[bl] | 9% |
Echelon Insights[120][N] | Aug 15–17, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 34% | 3%[bm] | 12% |
Emerson College[121] | Aug 9–11, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 6% | 49% | 3%[bn] | 13% |
co/efficient[122] | Aug 5–7, 2023 | 862 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 43% | 3%[bo] | 13% |
Manhattan Institute[123] | July 2023 | 603 (LV) | – | 3% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 34% | 3%[bp] | 8% |
National Research[124][O] | Jul 25–26, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 41% | – | 15% |
University of New Hampshire[125] | Jul 13–17, 2023 | 898 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 6% | 6% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 37% | 1%[bq] | 8% |
National Research[126][O] | Jul 10–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 39% | – | 17% |
American Pulse[127] | Jul 5–11, 2023 | 895 | ± 3.2% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 3% | – | 5% | 5% | 7% | 48% | – | 8%[br] |
Saint Anselm College[128] | Jun 21–23, 2023 | 494 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 2% | 6% | 19% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 47% | 0%[bs] | 10% |
New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient[129] | Jun 14–16, 2023 | 904 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | 9% | 13% | 3% | – | 5% | 3% | 3% | 47% | 5% | 10% |
– | – | 23% | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 28% | ||||
National Research[130][O] | Jun 12–14, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 7% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 44% | 18%[bt] | – |
National Research[131][O] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 18% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 39% | 32%[bu] | – |
University of New Hampshire[132] | Apr 13–17, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | 1% | 22% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 42% | 20%[bv] | 4% |
J.L Partners[133] | Apr 2–11, 2023 | 623 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 2% | 18% | 4% | – | 2% | 1% | 1% | 51% | 19%[bw] | 6% |
– | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 13% | ||||
Saint Anselm College[134] | Mar 28–30, 2023 | 1,320 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | 1% | 29% | 4% | – | 1% | 3% | 1% | 42% | 19%[bx] | – |
Emerson College[135] | Mar 3–5, 2023 | 384 (RV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 17% | 6% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 58% | 14%[by] | – |
co/efficient[136] | Jan 25–26, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.35% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
– | – | 26% | 4% | – | 3% | – | – | 37% | 13%[bz] | 18% | ||||
University of New Hampshire[137] | Jan 19–23, 2023 | 349 (LV) | ± 5.2% | – | – | 42% | 8% | – | 1% | – | 0% | 30% | 16%[ca] | 3% |
Neighborhood Research and Media[138] | Dec 5–13, 2022 | 434 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 33% | – | – | 3% | – | – | 32% | 13% | 19% |
WPA Intelligence[139][L] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 11% |
2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||
Saint Anselm College[140] | Aug 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | 29% | 3% | – | 3% | – | 1% | 50% | 4%[cb] | 8% |
WPA Intelligence[139][L] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 10% |
Neighborhood Research and Media[141][P] | Jul 5–8, 2022 | 475 (RV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | 22% | 1% | – | 1% | – | – | 41% | 3%[cc] | 32% |
University of New Hampshire[142] | Jun 16–20, 2022 | 318 (LV) | ± 5.5% | – | – | 39% | 6% | – | 9% | – | 0% | 37% | 6%[cd] | 3% |
University of New Hampshire[143] | Oct 14–18, 2021 | 441 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | – | 18% | 6% | – | 4% | – | – | 43% | 14%[ce] | 10% |
University of New Hampshire[144] | Jul 15–19, 2021 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | – | 19% | 6% | – | 5% | – | – | 43% | 13%[cf] | 10% |
Saint Anselm College[145][Q] | May 7–10, 2021 | 635 (RV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | 20% | 7% | – | 4% | – | 0% | 52% | 7%[cg] | 10% |
Victory Insights[146] | Mar 5–11, 2021 | 400 (RV) | – | – | – | 5% | 3% | – | 6% | – | – | 52% | 14%[ch] | – |
– | – | 21% | 7% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 29%[ci] | – | ||||
Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
Praecones Analytica[147] | Nov 30 – December 2, 2020 | 624 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 6% | – | 2% | 57% | 19%[cj] | 10% |
– | – | – | 12% | – | 25% | – | 3% | – | 46%[ck] | 14% |
Nevada primary and caucus
[edit]The 2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary and caucus was held on February 6 and February 8, 2024, respectively.
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[cl] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RealClearPolling[148] | September 29, 2023 – January 8, 2024 | January 21, 2024 | 69.0% | 31.0%[cm] | Trump +58.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates[149][R] | Dec 11–13, 2023 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5% | 15% | – | – | – | 2% | – | 75% | 0%[cn] | 3% |
SSRS/CNN[150] | Sep 29 – October 6, 2023 | 650 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 2% | 13% | 6% | – | 3% | 4% | 2% | 65% | 4%[co] | 2% |
National Research[151][S] | Jun 26–28, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 3% | 22% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 52% | – | 14%[cp] |
National Research[152][S] | May 30 – June 1, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 21% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 53% | 0%[cq] | 17% |
Vote TXT[153] | May 15–19, 2023 | 112 (RV) | ± 4.8% | – | 21% | 5% | – | 2% | 3% | – | 51% | 7% | 11% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research[154] | Oct 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | 34% | 1% | – | 7% | – | – | 41% | 7%[cr] | 10% |
South Carolina primary
[edit]The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024. Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[cs] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270toWin[155] | February 16–20, 2024 | February 21, 2024 | 34.6% | 61.6% | 3.8% | Trump +27.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[156] | through February 23, 2024 | February 24, 2024 | 34.0% | 61.6% | 4.4% | Trump +27.6 |
RealClearPolling[157] | February 14, 2024 – February 23, 2024 | February 23, 2024 | 37.5% | 60.8% | 1.7% | Trump +23.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trafalgar Group[158] | Feb 21–23, 2024 | 1093 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 37.5% | – | – | – | – | 58.9% | – | 3.6%[ct] |
Suffolk University/USA Today[159] | Feb 15–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | – | – | 63% | – | 2%[cu] |
Emerson College/The Hill[160] | Feb 15–17, 2024 | 1197 (LV) | ± 2.8% | – | – | – | 35.4% | – | – | – | – | 57.9% | – | 6.7% |
Insider Advantage[161] | Feb 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | 60% | 1% | 1% |
Trafalgar Group[162] | Feb 13–15, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 33.6% | – | – | – | – | 63.3% | – | 3% |
The Citadel[163] | Feb 5–11, 2024 | 505 (LV) | ± 5.7% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 64% | 3% | 2% |
Winthrop University[164] | Feb 2–10, 2024 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | – | – | – | 28.7% | – | – | – | – | 64.9% | 3.3% | 2% |
Washington Post/Monmouth University[165] | Jan 26–30, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | 58% | 2% | 8% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[166] | Jan 28–29, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 66% | – | 4% |
The Tyson Group/The American Promise[167] | Jan 24–26, 2024 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 11% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[166] | Jan 17–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | – | – | 68% | – | 4% |
Emerson College[168] | Jan 2–3, 2024 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 4.8% | 6.6% | 25.1% | 0.2% | – | 3.1% | – | 54.4% | – | 1.9% |
Trafalgar Group[169] | Dec 6–8, 2023 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | 5.8% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 0.3% | – | 6.1% | – | 48.7% | – | 1.9% |
Morning Consult[170] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 856 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 13% | 19% | – | – | 3% | 7% | 57% | – | – |
Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research[171] | Nov 4–12, 2023 | 780 (RV) | ± 3.51% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 0.4% | – | 3.4% | 10.6% | 47.6% | 2.1%[cv] | 2.7% |
Morning Consult[170] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 927 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 11% | 15% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 58% | – | – |
CNN/SSRS[172] | Oct 18–25, 2023 | 738 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 0% | 2% | 11% | 22% | 0%[cw] | 2% | 1% | 6% | 53% | 0%[cx] | 1% |
Morning Consult[170] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 854 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 10% | 13% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 59% | 0%[cy] | 1% |
Fox Business[173] | Sep 14–18, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 46% | 1%[cz] | 3% |
Washington Post/Monmouth University[174] | Sep 6–11, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 46% | 1%[da] | 4% |
Morning Consult[170] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 910 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 14% | 11% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 55% | 0%[cy] | – |
Trafalgar Group (R)[175] | Aug 17–19, 2023 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 48% | 0%[db] | 1% |
Morning Consult[170] | July 1–31, 2023 | 907 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 15% | 12% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 54% | 0%[dc] | 1% |
Fox Business[176] | Jul 15–19, 2023 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.5% | <0.5% | 2% | 13% | 14% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 48% | –[dd] | 4% |
Morning Consult[170] | June 1–30, 2023 | 907 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 20% | 12% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 48% | 1%[de] | 1% |
National Public Affairs[177] | Jun 20–21, 2023 | 809 (LV) | – | 1% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 41% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult[170] | May 1–31, 2023 | 875 (LV) | – | – | – | 19% | 13% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 52% | 1%[df] | 1% |
National Research[178][T] | May 24–25, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | – | – | 18% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 43% | 1%[dg] | 13% |
National Public Affairs[179] | May 15–17, 2023 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 23% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 38% | – | 8% |
Morning Consult[170] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 810 (LV) | – | – | – | 17% | 17% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 52% | 3%[dh] | 1% |
National Public Affairs[180] | Apr 11–14, 2023 | 588 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | – | 21% | 19% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 43% | 1%[di] | 6% |
Winthrop University[181] | Mar 25 – April 1, 2023 | 485 (RV) | ± 4.6% | – | – | 20% | 18% | 0% | 5% | – | 7% | 41% | 5%[dj] | 4% |
Morning Consult[170] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 806 (LV) | – | – | – | 22% | 15% | – | 5% | 0% | 4% | 49% | 3%[dk] | 2% |
Morning Consult[170] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 689 (LV) | – | – | – | 24% | 18% | – | 5% | – | 7% | 43% | 4%[dl] | – |
Neighbourhood Research and Media[182][M] | Feb 7–14, 2023 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.9% | – | – | 22% | 16% | – | 2% | – | 2% | 35% | – | 23% |
Morning Consult[170] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 974 (LV) | – | – | – | 31% | 14% | – | 2% | – | 5% | 45% | 2%[dm] | 1% |
Trafalgar Group[183] | Jan 24–26, 2023 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | – | 33% | – | 6% | – | – | 52% | 9%[dn] | – |
– | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | – | 23% | 48% | 5%[do] | – | ||||
– | – | 29% | 22% | – | 4% | – | – | 43% | 2%[dp] | – | ||||
– | – | 28% | 12% | – | 2% | – | 14% | 43% | 1%[dq] | – | ||||
Moore Information[184] | Jan 18–24, 2023 | 450 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 31% | 12% | – | 4% | – | 5% | 41% | – | 7% |
– | – | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 9% | ||||
– | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 15% | ||||
Spry Strategies[185] | Jan 17–19, 2023 | 386 (LV) | – | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | 15% |
Morning Consult[170] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 530 (LV) | – | – | – | 28% | 13% | – | 4% | – | 5% | 44% | 6%[dr] | – |
Winthrop University[186] | Oct 22 – November 5, 2022 | 1,298 (A) | ± 2.8% | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 19% |
Echelon Insights[187] | Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 | 294 (LV) | ± 5.1% | – | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 9% |
Trafalgar Group[188] | Mar 25–29, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 64% | 11%[ds] | 25%[dt] |
Michigan primary and caucus
[edit]The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and caucus were held on February 27 and March 2, 2024, respectively.
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[du] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[189] | through February 24, 2024 | February 27, 2024 | 21.8% | 78.7% | - | Trump +56.9 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Will Hurd |
Asa Hutchinson |
Perry Johnson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/The Hill[190] | Feb 20–24, 2024 | 486 (LV) | ±3% | – | – | – | 20.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 69.2% | – | 10.5% |
Michigan Information and Research Service (MIRS)[191] | Jan 4–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ±4% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 2% | – | 53% | – | 6% |
CNN/SSRS[192] | Nov 30 – December 7, 2023 | 618 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 13% | – | 1% | – | – | 4% | – | 58% | 1% | 3% |
Morning Consult[193] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,348 (LV) | – | 0% | 3% | 13% | 10% | – | 0% | – | – | 8% | 1% | 65% | – | – |
Morning Consult[193] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,342 (LV) | – | 1% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 0% | – | 7% | 9% | 1% | 63% | – | – |
Public Policy Polling (D)[194] | Oct 9–10, 2023 | 430 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 6% | – | 0% | – | 2% | 3% | 0% | 63% | – | 8% |
Morning Consult[193] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,238 (LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 12% | 6% | 0% | 0% | – | 7% | 10% | 1% | 58% | – | 2% |
Susquehanna University[195] | Sep 7–12, 2023 | 219 (LV) | – | 0% | 0% | 18% | 3% | – | 0% | – | 5% | 5% | 0% | 65% | – | – |
Morning Consult[193] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,299 (LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 8% | 8% | 2% | 59% | 0%[dv] | – |
Emerson College[196] | Aug 1–2, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 61% | 1% | 6% |
Morning Consult[193] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,350 (LV) | – | – | 3% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 10% | 7% | 2% | 55% | – | 1% |
Mitchell Research[197][U] | Jul 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 13% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 3% | – | 2% | 69% | – | 11% |
Morning Consult[193] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,242 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 25% | 3% | 0% | 2% | – | 9% | 3% | 3% | 52% | 1%[dw] | – |
Morning Consult[193] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,354 (LV) | – | – | – | 25% | 2% | – | 1% | – | 9% | 5% | 1% | 53% | 5%[dx] | 1% |
Morning Consult[193] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,356 (LV) | – | – | – | 26% | 3% | – | 0% | – | 10% | 2% | 1% | 53% | 5%[dy] | – |
Morning Consult[193] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,378 (LV) | – | – | – | 30% | 3% | – | – | – | 10% | 0% | 1% | 51% | 5%[dz] | – |
Morning Consult[193] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,232 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 4% | – | – | – | 10% | 0% | 1% | 46% | 6%[ea] | 1% |
Echelon Insights[198] | Feb 13–16, 2023 | 400 (V) | ± 6.0% | – | – | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 11% | – |
Morning Consult[193] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,709 (LV) | – | – | – | 33% | 1% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 0% | 48% | 5%[eb] | 3% |
Morning Consult[193] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 909 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 1% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 0% | 50% | 7%[ec] | – |
Glengariff Group[199] | Jul 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | 13% | – |
Missouri caucus
[edit]The 2024 Missouri Republican presidential caucuses were held on March 2, 2024.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Mike Pence |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research[200] | Feb 8–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 35% | 8% | – | 38% | – | – | |||||
45% | – | – | 38% | – | – | |||||||||
Remington Research[201] | Nov 15–16, 2022 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | – | – | 38% | – | 15% | |||||
38% | – | – | 36% | 7%[ed] | 19% | |||||||||
Remington Research[202] | Jul 27–28, 2022 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 18% | – | – | 42% | 23%[ee] | 17% | |||||
Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
Remington Research[203] | Dec 2–3, 2020 | 840 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | 32% | – | 42%[ef] | 26% |
Alabama primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal/Alabama Daily News[204] | Jan 29–30, 2024 | 515 (LV) | ± 4.31% | – | 16% | 76% | – | 8% |
Public Opinion Strategies[205][V] | Jan 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 50% | – | 31% | – | 19% |
53% | – | 35% | – | 12% | ||||
Cygnal/Alabama Daily News[206] | Oct 27–29, 2022 | 616 (LV) | ± 3.94% | 36% | 1% | 50% | 5% | 8% |
Arkansas primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Donald Trump |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[207] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 184 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 29% | 58% | 13% |
California primary
[edit]Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[eg] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[208] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 19.0% | 73.1% | 7.9% | Trump +54.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Larry Elder |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult[209] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 2,347 (LV) | – | 2% | 10% | – | 8% | 0% | – | 7% | – | 71% | 1%[eh] | – |
Public Policy Institute of California[210] | Nov 9–16, 2023 | 276 (LV) | – | 5% | 12% | – | 13% | 0% | – | 2% | 2% | 56% | 1%[ei] | 9% |
Emerson College[211] | Nov 11–14, 2023 | 331 (LV) | – | 4% | 11% | - | 5% | 2% | – | 3% | - | 63% | 1%[ej] | 11% |
UC Berkeley IGS[212] | Oct 24–30, 2023 | 1,234 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 9% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 57% | 5% | 11% |
Public Policy Institute of California[213] | Oct 3–19, 2023 | 316 (LV) | – | 4% | 12% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 53% | 5%[ek] | 1% |
Data Viewpoint[214] | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 5.5% | 17.5% | – | 15.2% | <1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 49.8% | 1.7%[el] | – |
California's Choice[215] | Aug 27–29, 2023 | 750 (LV) | – | 4.8% | 21.6% | – | 15.6% | 0.5% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 0.8% | 43.4% | 2.6% | – |
UC Berkeley IGS[216] | Aug 24–29, 2023 | 1,175 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 3% | 16% | 1% | 7% | – | 3% | 4% | 2% | 55% | – | 9% |
Public Policy Institute of California[217] | Jun 7–29, 2023 | 267 (LV) | – | 3% | 24% | – | 3% | – | 6% | 1% | 5% | 50% | 7%[em] | 1% |
Emerson College[218] | Jun 4–7, 2023 | 329 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 2% | 19% | – | 6% | – | 10% | 2% | 4% | 53% | 7%[en] | – |
Public Policy Institute of California[219] | May 17–24, 2023 | 295 (LV) | ± 7% | 1% | 21% | – | 3% | – | 10% | 1% | 2% | 50% | 11%[eo] | 2% |
UC Berkeley IGS[220] | May 17–22, 2023 | 1,835 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 1% | 26% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 44% | 6%[ep] | 13% |
UC Berkeley IGS[221] | Feb 14–20, 2023 | 1,755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | 37% | – | 7% | – | 3% | – | 1% | 29% | 8%[eq] | 10% |
– | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 6%[er] | 11% | ||||
UC Berkeley IGS[222] | Aug 9–15, 2022 | 9,254 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 0% | 27% | – | 3% | – | 7% | – | 0% | 38% | 10%[es] | 14% |
0% | 53% | – | 4% | – | 9% | – | 1% | – | 15%[et] | 17% |
Maine caucus
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Mike Pence |
Mike Pompeo |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Chris Sununu |
Donald Trump |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Digital Research Inc.[223] | Mar 22 – April 22, 2023 | 192 (LV) | – | 10% | 27% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 59% |
Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley |
Mike Pence |
Other | Undecided | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redrawing of congressional districts after the 2020 redistricting cycle | |||||||||||
Inauguration of Joe Biden | |||||||||||
2020 presidential election | |||||||||||
SurveyUSA[224] | Jun 30 – July 6, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 12% | 30% | 36%[eu] | 21% |
Massachusetts primary
[edit]Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[ev] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270ToWin[225] | February 7–8, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 29.3% | 63.0% | 7.7% | Trump +33.7 |
FiveThirtyEight[226] | through February 6, 2024 | March 5, 2024 | 29.3% | 66.6% | 4.1% | Trump +37.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ew] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Mike Pence |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[227][W] | Oct 13–20, 2023 | 107 (V) | ± 5.1% | 15% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 54% | 10%[ex] | – |
UMass-Amherst[228] | Mar 28 – Apr 5, 2023 | 154 (RV) | – | 18% | 4% | 10% | 1% | 59% | 8%[ey] | – |
32% | – | – | – | 68% | – | – | ||||
Opinion Diagnostics[229] | Mar 31 – Apr 1, 2023 | 475 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 21% | 9% | 3% | – | 45% | 3% | 19% |
32% | – | – | – | 46% | – | 22% | ||||
UMass-Amherst[230] | Jun 15–21, 2022 | 237 (RV) | – | 24% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 51% | 11%[ez] | – |
North Carolina primary
[edit]Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[fa] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270ToWin[231] | February 5–7, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 21.5% | 74.5% | 4.0% | Trump +53.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[232] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 22.1% | 74.7% | 4.2% | Trump +52.6 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capen Analytics[233] | Feb 21, 2024 | 12,580 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 36% | – | – | – | – | 64% | – | – | |
Public Policy Polling (D)[234] | Jan 5–6, 2024 | 619 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 0% | – | 4% | – | 66% | 0%[fb] | 5% | |
ECU Center for Survey Research[235] | Nov 29 – Dec 1, 2023 | 445 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 2% | 10% | 13% | 1% | – | 3% | – | 63% | – | 8% | |
Morning Consult[236] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,342 (LV) | – | 4% | 14% | 9% | 1% | – | 5% | 1% | 67% | 0%[fc] | – | |
Meredith College[237] | Nov 1–5, 2023 | 335 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 6% | 14% | 9% | 0% | - | 8% | 3% | 51% | 2%[fd] | 6% | |
Morning Consult[236] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,337 (LV) | – | 3% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 61% | 0%[fe] | 2% | |
Morning Consult[236] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,366 (LV) | – | 3% | 15% | 8% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 58% | 0%[ff] | 2% | |
Meredith College[237] | Sep 16–19, 2023 | 350 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 3% | 13% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 51% | 6%[fg] | 7% | |
Morning Consult[236] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,491 (LV) | – | 3% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 2% | 57% | 0%[fh] | 1% | |
Morning Consult[236] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,535 (LV) | – | 3% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 58% | 0%[fi] | 1% | |
Morning Consult[236] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,454 (LV) | – | 2% | 20% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 56% | 1%[fj] | 1% | |
Opinion Diagnostics[238] | Jun 5–7, 2023 | 408 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 2% | 22% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 44% | 2%[fk] | 11% | |
– | 34% | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | 15% | |||||
Morning Consult[236] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,453 (LV) | – | – | 20% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 59% | 3%[fl] | 1% | |
Morning Consult[236] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,299 (LV) | – | – | 23% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 58% | 4%[fm] | 2% | |
SurveyUSA[239][X] | Apr 25–29, 2023 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 22% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 55% | 0%[fn] | 5% | |
Morning Consult[236] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,31 (LV) | – | – | 27% | 9% | – | 8% | 0% | 1% | 51% | 2%[fo] | 2% | |
Morning Consult[236] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,185 (LV) | – | – | 31% | 7% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 51% | 3%[fp] | 1% | |
Morning Consult[236] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,703 (LV) | – | – | 30% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 52% | 5%[fq] | 1% | |
Differentiators Data[240] | Jan 9–12, 2023 | 213 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 47% | 4% | – | 2% | – | – | 35% | 3%[fr] | – | |
Morning Consult[236] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 905 (LV) | – | – | 31% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 50% | 5%[fs] | 2% | |
Differentiators Data[241] | Dec 8–11, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | |
John Bolton Super PAC[242] | Jul 22–24, 2022 | 149 (LV) | – | 1% | 27% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 37% | 12%[ft] | 16% | |
Atlantic Polling Strategies[243][Y] | Apr 25–28, 2022 | 534 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | 23% | 5% | – | 4% | – | 4% | 52% | 2%[fu] | 10% | |
Spry Strategies[244] | Apr 6–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 19% | 8% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 45% | 9%[fv] | 12% | |
– | 32% | 8% | – | 9% | – | 2% | – | 18%[fw] | 31% | |||||
Cygnal (R)[245] | Apr 1–3, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 26% | 8% | – | 6% | – | – | 45% | 2%[fx] | 13% | |
Cygnal (R)[246] | Jan 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 19% | 8% | – | 5% | – | 2% | 47% | 3%[fy] | 16% | |
Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
BUSR/UNLV Lee Business School[247] | Nov 30 – Dec 2, 2020 | 221 (RV) | ± 7.0% | – | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 76% | 13%[fz] | 6% | |
– | – | 9% | – | 48% | – | – | – | 25%[ga] | 18% |
Oklahoma primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult[248] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 637(LV) | – | 3% | 12% | 6% | 0% | – | 7% | 1% | 69% | 0%[gb] | 2% |
Morning Consult[248] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 625(LV) | – | 5% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 68% | 0%[gc] | 2% |
Morning Consult[248] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 566(LV) | – | 4% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 63% | 0%[gd] | 2% |
Morning Consult[248] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 602(LV) | – | 3% | 11% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 2% | 63% | 1%[ge] | 1% |
Morning Consult[248] | July 1–31, 2023 | 629(LV) | – | 2% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 63% | 0%[gf] | – |
Morning Consult[248] | June 1–30, 2023 | 559(LV) | – | 3% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 66% | 1%[gg] | – |
Morning Consult[248] | May 1–31, 2023 | 627(LV) | – | – | 16% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 64% | 3%[gh] | 1% |
Morning Consult[248] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 560(LV) | – | – | 14% | 2% | – | 8% | 2% | 2% | 67% | 4%[gi] | 1% |
C.H.S. & Associates[249] | Mar 27–31, 2023 | 300 (RV) | ± 4.3% | – | 29% | 6% | – | 6% | – | – | 38% | 9%[gj] | 11% |
Morning Consult[248] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 615(LV) | – | – | 20% | 3% | – | 10% | 1% | 1% | 58% | 7%[gk] | – |
Morning Consult[248] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 473(LV) | – | – | 24% | 3% | – | 8% | 1% | 0% | 58% | 7%[gl] | – |
Morning Consult[248] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 697(LV) | – | – | 27% | 1% | – | 9% | – | 0% | 57% | 5%[gm] | 1% |
Morning Consult[248] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 414 (LV) | – | – | 29% | 2% | – | 8% | – | – | 55% | 7%[gn] | – |
Echelon Insights[250] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 265 (LV) | – | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 60% | – | 10% |
Amber Integrated[251] | Aug 11–15, 2022 | 684 (LV) | – | 2% | 22% | 2% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 50% | 11%[go] | 7% |
– | 2% | 49% | 5% | – | 10% | – | 1% | – | 27%[gp] | 9% |
Tennessee primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research[252][Z] | Dec 14–28, 2023 | 522 (LV) | ± 2.66% | – | 1% | 12% | 7% | 0% | – | 2% | – | 72% | 1% | 6% |
Morning Consult[253] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,078 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 17% | 8% | 1% | – | 4% | 1% | 66% | – | 1% |
Morning Consult[253] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,061 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 14% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 63% | – | 3% |
Morning Consult[253] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,032 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 63% | 0%[gq] | 2% |
Morning Consult[253] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,109 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 3% | 59% | 0%[gr] | 1% |
Morning Consult[253] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,079 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 17% | 2% | 0% | 10% | 9% | 2% | 57% | 0%[gr] | 1% |
Morning Consult[253] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,072 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 21% | 3% | 0% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 59% | 1%[gs] | – |
The Beacon Center[254] | Jun 14–22, 2023 | 502 (LV) | – | – | – | 12% | – | – | 8% | 1% | 1% | 61% | – | 9% |
Morning Consult[253] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,147 (LV) | – | – | – | 18% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 64% | 3%[gt] | 2% |
Morning Consult[253] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 986 (LV) | – | – | – | 22% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 61% | 5%[gu] | – |
Vanderbilt University[255] | Apr 19–23, 2023 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.6% | – | – | 25% | 4% | 2% | 5% | – | 3% | 59% | – | – |
– | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | – | 57% | – | – | ||||
Morning Consult[253] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,027 (LV) | – | – | – | 25% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 1% | 59% | 5%[gv] | – |
Morning Consult[253] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 980 (LV) | – | – | – | 29% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 0% | 55% | 5%[gw] | – |
Morning Consult[253] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,265 (LV) | – | – | – | 35% | 1% | – | 10% | – | 1% | 47% | 6%[gx] | 1% |
Morning Consult[253] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 698 (LV) | – | – | – | 34% | 0% | – | 10% | – | 1% | 51% | 3%[gy] | 1% |
Vanderbilt University[256] | Nov 8–28, 2022 | 474 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | 5% |
Texas primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[257][AA] | Dec 1–10, 2023 | 552 (RV) | ± 4.17% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 9% | – | – | 4% | – | 65% | 2%[gz] | 6% |
Morning Consult[258] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 3,064 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 12% | 7% | 1% | – | 7% | 1% | 69% | – | – |
CWS Research[259][AB] | Nov 20–22, 2023 | 458 (LV) | ± 4.579% | 0% | 3% | 11% | 11% | – | – | 2% | – | 61% | – | 11% |
– | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | 63% | – | 14% | ||||
– | – | – | 20% | – | – | – | – | 70% | – | 10% | ||||
Morning Consult[258] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 3,187 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 66% | 0%[ha] | 1% |
YouGov[260][AA] | Oct 5–17, 2023 | 568 (RV) | ± 4.11% | 0% | 1% | 13% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 62% | 3%[hb] | 5% |
CWS Research[261][AB] | October 5–9, 2023 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.793% | 0% | 1% | 9% | 11% | N/A | 2% | 5% | 1% | 58% | – | 13% |
– | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | 17% | ||||
Morning Consult[258] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 3,099 (LV) | – | 1% | 1% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 62% | 0%[hc] | 2% |
CWS Research[262][AB] | Sep 1–4, 2023 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.864% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 61% | 2%[hd] | 10% |
– | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | 14% | ||||
Morning Consult[258] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 3,070 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 11% | 3% | 61% | 1%[he] | – |
CWS Research[263][AB] | Jul 30–31, 2023 | 606 (LV) | ± 3.981% | 0% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 48% | 3%[hf] | 15% |
– | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 19% | ||||
Morning Consult[258] | July 1–31, 2023 | 3,156 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 59% | 0%[hg] | 1% |
CWS Research[264][AB] | Jun 28–30, 2023 | 764 (LV) | ± 3.546% | 0% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 51% | 3%[hh] | 10% |
– | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 15% | ||||
Morning Consult[258] | June 1–30, 2023 | 2,929 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 59% | 2%[hi] | 2% |
Morning Consult[258] | May 1–31, 2023 | 2,829 (LV) | – | – | – | 19% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 58% | 7%[hj] | 2% |
CWS Research[265][AB] | May 26–30, 2023 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 3.07% | – | – | 23% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 47% | 4%[hk] | 13% |
– | – | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 51% | – | 16% | ||||
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[266] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | – | – | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 57% | 2%[hl] | 5% |
CWS Research[267] | Apr 29 – May 1, 2023 | 699 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | – | 16% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 54% | 4%[hm] | 15% |
Morning Consult[258] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 2,736 (LV) | – | – | – | 20% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 57% | 9%[hn] | 2% |
CWS Research[268][AB] | Mar 30 – Apr 2, 2023 | 1,067 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | 20% | 4% | – | 5% | 2% | 1% | 52% | 5%[ho] | 12% |
Morning Consult[258] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 2,629 (LV) | – | – | – | 24% | 4% | – | 7% | 0% | 1% | 53% | 11%[hp] | – |
CWS Research[269][AB] | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2023 | 879 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | – | 27% | 5% | – | 4% | 2% | 1% | 43% | 5%[hq] | 13% |
Morning Consult[258] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 2,376 (LV) | – | – | – | 27% | 3% | – | 6% | 0% | 1% | 51% | 12%[hr] | – |
Morning Consult[258] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 3,187 (LV) | – | – | – | 28% | 2% | – | 9% | – | 0% | 48% | 13%[hs] | – |
Morning Consult[258] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 1,871 (LV) | – | – | – | 30% | 2% | – | 8% | – | 0% | 45% | 15%[ht] | – |
CWS Research[270][AB] | Dec 19–21, 2022 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | 36% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 37% | 7%[hu] | 11% |
CWS Research[271][AB] | Nov 27–28, 2022 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | – | 34% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 1% | 37% | 5%[hv] | 13% |
CWS Research[272][AC] | Nov 12–13, 2022 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | – | 43% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 1% | 32% | 1%[hw] | 14% |
CWS Research[273][AB] | Oct 19–23, 2022 | 823 (RV) | – | – | – | 29% | 3% | – | 4% | – | – | 46% | 7%[hx] | 11% |
Echelon Insights[274] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 378 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 10% |
CWS Research[275][AB] | Aug 9–11, 2022 | 1,581 (RV) | ± 2.5% | – | – | 21% | 5% | – | 6% | – | – | 51% | 7%[hy] | 10% |
CWS Research[276][AB] | Jul 9–10, 2022 | 1,918 (RV) | ± 2.2% | – | – | 26% | 5% | – | 6% | – | – | 45% | 20%[hz] | 9% |
CWS Research[277][AB] | Jun 7–8, 2022 | 665 (RV) | ± 3.8% | – | – | 26% | 4% | – | 5% | – | – | 49% | 8%[ia] | 8% |
CWS Research[278][AB] | May 4–10, 2022 | 992 (LV) | ± 3.1% | – | – | 28% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 44% | 13%[ib] | 8% |
CWS Research[279][AB] | Mar 29 – Apr 1, 2022 | 678 (LV) | ± 3.8% | – | – | 20% | 10% | – | – | – | – | 46% | 16%[ic] | 8% |
Polls without Donald Trump
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|
Utah caucus
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates[281] | Oct 12–23, 2023 | 509 (RV) | – | 3% | 14% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 30% | – | 20% |
Dan Jones & Associates[282] | Sep 24–29, 2023 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.32% | 4% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 33% | 6% | 22% |
Dan Jones & Associates[283] | Aug 7–14, 2023 | 476 (RV) | ± 4.49% | 4% | 19% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 27% | 18%[ih] | 13% |
Noble Perspective Insights[284] | Jul 7–18, 2023 | 301 (RV) | ± 5.65% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 48% | 10%[ii] | – |
Dan Jones & Associates[285] | Jun 26 – Jul 4, 2023 | 495 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 4% | 24% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 29% | 13%[ij] | 16% |
Dan Jones & Associates[286] | May 22 – Jun 1, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 4.8% | – | 26% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 27% | 16%[ik] | 16% |
Dan Jones & Associates[287] | April 25–28, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | 19% | 8% | 6% | – | – | 21% | 24%[il] | 22% |
WPA Intelligence[288][AD] | April 18–20, 2023 | 504 (RV) | ± 4.0% | – | 46% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | 19% |
OH Predictive Insights[289] | March 14–23, 2023 | 302 (RV) | ± 5.6% | – | 23% | 5% | 10% | – | 0% | 41% | 5%[im] | – |
Dan Jones & Associates[290] | March 14–22, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | 31% | 5% | 4% | – | – | 23% | 12%[in] | – |
OH Predictive Insights[291] | Dec 27, 2022 – Jan 4, 2023 | 302 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 1% | 29% | 3% | 11% | – | – | 42% | 12%[io] | 2% |
Dan Jones & Associates[292] | Nov 18–23, 2022 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | – | 24% | 4% | 6% | – | – | 15% | 30%[ip] | 21% |
OH Predictive Insights[293] | Nov 5–15, 2021 | 333 (RV) | ± 5.4% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 9% | – | – | 43% | 25%[iq] | 10% |
1% | 18% | 5% | 13% | – | – | – | 32%[ir] | 20% |
Virginia primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ew] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Larry Elder |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Glenn Youngkin |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roanoke College[294] | Feb 11–19, 2024 | 392 (LV) | ± 4.6% | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | – | – | – | 51% | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[295] | Jan 23 – February 4, 2024 | 436 (LV) | – | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | – | – | – | 78% | – | – | – |
Morning Consult[295] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 942(LV) | – | 0% | 5% | 14% | – | 9% | – | – | 7% | 1% | 63% | – | – | 1% |
Roanoke College[296] | Nov 12–20, 2023 | 686 (A) | ± 4.3% | 0% | 2% | 14% | – | 10% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 51% | 10% | – | 9% |
Morning Consult[295] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 942 (LV) | – | 0% | 3% | 10% | – | 8% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 63% | – | 0%[is] | – |
Morning Consult[295] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 896 (LV) | – | 0% | 3% | 14% | – | 6% | 0% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 61% | – | 0%[it] | 2% |
Morning Consult[295] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 947 (LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 15% | – | 3% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 2% | 59% | – | 0%[iu] | 1% |
Roanoke College[297] | Aug 6–15, 2023 | 702 (A) | ± 4.2% | – | 3% | 13% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 47% | 9% | 6%[iv] | 2% |
Morning Consult[295] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,044(LV) | – | 0% | 4% | 20% | – | 4% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 55% | – | 0%[iw] | – |
Morning Consult[295] | June 1–30, 2023 | 919 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 19% | – | 5% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 60% | – | 0%[ix] | 1% |
Morning Consult[295] | May 1–31, 2023 | 969 (LV) | – | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 59% | 3% | 3%[iy] | – |
Roanoke College[298] | May 14–23, 2023 | 678 (A) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 28% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | – | 1% | 48% | – | 3%[iz] | 4% |
Morning Consult[295] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 870 (LV) | – | – | – | 20% | – | 3% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 59% | 6% | 3%[ja] | 1% |
Morning Consult[295] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 921 (LV) | – | – | – | 26% | – | 3% | – | 6% | 1% | 0% | 50% | 9% | 3%[jb] | 2% |
Morning Consult[295] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 721 (LV) | – | – | – | 31% | – | 4% | – | 6% | 1% | 1% | 47% | 9% | 1%[jc] | – |
Differentiators[299] | Feb 21–24, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | 37% | – | 6% | – | 3% | 2% | – | 34% | 6% | 7%[jd] | 5% |
– | – | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | 9% | ||||
– | – | 65% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27% | – | 8% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | 42% | – | 6% | ||||
Roanoke College[300] | Feb 12–21, 2023 | 680 (A) | ± 4.2% | – | – | 28% | – | 5% | – | 3% | – | – | 39% | 6% | 6%[je] | 13% |
Morning Consult[295] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | – | 2% | – | 10% | – | 1% | 43% | 8% | 2%[jf] | 2% |
Morning Consult[295] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 559 (LV) | – | – | – | 30% | – | 2% | – | 11% | – | 1% | 45% | 7% | 5%[jg] | – |
Roanoke College[301] | Nov 13–22, 2022 | 652 (A) | ± 4.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | 39% | – | 7% |
Roanoke College[302] | Aug 7–16, 2022 | 640 (A) | ± 4.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 62% | 28% | – | 9% |
Georgia primary
[edit]States polled |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[jh] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[303] | through February 4, 2024 | March 5, 2024 | 16.3% | 81.1% | 2.6% | Trump +64.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS[304] | Nov 30 – Dec 7, 2023 | 522 (LV) | ± 3.3% | – | 4% | 17% | 17% | 1% | – | 3% | – | 55% | 2%[ji] | 2% |
– | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 61% | – | 2% | ||||
– | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 69% | – | – | ||||
Morning Consult[305] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,477 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 14% | 10% | 0% | – | 6% | 1% | 66% | – | 1% |
Morning Consult[305] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,525 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 15% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 63% | 0%[jj] | 1% |
Zogby Analytics[306] | Oct 9–12, 2023 | 273 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 3% | 10% | 9% | – | 5% | 7% | 5% | 55% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult[305] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,452 (LV) | – | – | 1% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 3% | 61% | 0%[jk] | – |
20/20 Insights[307] | Sep 25–28, 2023 | 245 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 0% | 4% | 16% | 7% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 58% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult[305] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,599 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 14% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 62% | 0%[jl] | 1% |
University of Georgia[308] | Aug 16–23, 2023 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 0% | 2% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 57% | 1%[jm] | 14% |
Morning Consult[305] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,633 (LV) | – | 0% | 1% | 19% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 57% | 1%[jn] | 1% |
Morning Consult[305] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,599 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 58% | 0%[jo] | 2% |
Morning Consult[305] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,470 (LV) | – | – | – | 21% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 61% | 1%[jp] | 3% |
Landmark Communications[309] | May 14, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | 2% | 32% | 6% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% | 40% | 7%[jq] | 6% |
Morning Consult[305] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,403 (LV) | – | – | – | 22% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 58% | 4%[jr] | 2% |
University of Georgia[310] | Apr 2–12, 2023 | 983 (LV) | ± 3.1% | – | – | 30% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 1% | 51% | 3%[js] | 7% |
– | – | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | 51% | – | - | ||||
Morning Consult[305] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,426 (LV) | – | – | – | 29% | 4% | – | 8% | 1% | 1% | 53% | 3%[jt] | 1% |
Morning Consult[305] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,280 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 5% | – | 7% | 0% | 2% | 50% | 4%[ju] | - |
Morning Consult[305] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,714 (LV) | – | – | – | 33% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 1% | 50% | 6%[jv] | - |
Morning Consult[305] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 972 (LV) | – | – | – | 35% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 1% | 47% | 3%[jw] | 3% |
WPA Intelligence[311][L] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 843 (LV) | ± 3.4% | – | – | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | 10% |
2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||
Echelon Insights[312] | Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2022 | 219 (LV) | ± 5.4% | – | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 12% |
Echelon Insights[313] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 337 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 54% | – | 9% |
Phillips Academy[314] | Aug 3–7, 2022 | 371 (RV) | ± 5.1% | – | – | 29% | – | – | 9% | – | – | 54% | – | 8% |
John Bolton Super PAC[315] | Jul 22–24, 2022 | 163 (LV) | – | – | 5% | 36% | – | – | 6% | – | – | 29% | 16%[jx] | 19% |
Spry Strategies[316] | Apr 6–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 20% | 6% | – | 5% | – | 1% | 43% | 11%[jy] | 15% |
– | 39% | 6% | – | 7% | – | 2% | – | 15%[jz] | 31% | |||||
Trafalgar Group (R)[317] | Mar 7–9, 2021 | – (LV)[ka] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 70% | 18%[kb] | 12% |
Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||
University of Nevada/BUSR[318] | Dec 30, 2020 – Jan 3, 2021 | 209 (LV) | ± 7.0% | – | 1% | – | 3% | – | – | – | – | 73% | 12%[kc] | – |
- | 1% | – | 8% | – | 36% | – | – | – | 31%[kd] | 24% |
Mississippi primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mississippi Today/Siena College[319] | Aug 20–28, 2023 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 61% | 2% | – |
Mississippi Today/Siena College[320] | Jan 8–12, 2023 | 487 (RV) | ± 5.9% | – | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | 46% | 3%[ke] | 11% |
Echelon Insights[321] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 211 (LV) | ± 7.8% | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | 11% | – |
Arizona primary
[edit]States polled |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[kf] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[322] | through February 4, 2024 | March 5, 2024 | 19.9% | 77.3% | 2.8% | Trump +57.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights[323] | October 25–31, 2023 | 348 (RV) | ± 5.25% | 2% | 16% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 53% | 7%[kg] | – |
– | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 68% | – | – | ||||
Emerson College[324] | August 2–4, 2023 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 6% | 11% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 58% | 11%[kh] | 1% |
Noble Predictive Insights[325] | July 13–17, 2023 | 346 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 2% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 50% | 7%[ki] | – |
– | 38% | – | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | – | ||||
J.L. Partners[326] | Apr 10–12, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | 24% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 47% | 8%[kj] | 11% |
– | 35% | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 13% | ||||
Noble Predictive Insights[325] | Apr 4–11, 2023 | 371 (RV) | ± 5.1% | – | 21% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 0% | 49% | 20%[kk] | – |
– | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | – | ||||
Rasmussen Reports[327] | Mar 13–14, 2023 | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 24% |
OH Predictive Insights[328] | Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2023 | 350 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 1% | 26% | 5% | – | 8% | – | – | 42% | 11%[kl] | 7% |
Blueprint Polling[329] | Jan 5–8, 2023 | 303 (V) | – | – | 34% | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | 23% |
Echelon Insights[330] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 337 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 11% |
OH Predictive Insights[331] | Nov 1–8, 2021 | 252 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 1% | 16% | 6% | – | 9% | – | – | 48% | 9%[km] | 9% |
0% | 29% | 8% | – | 21% | – | – | – | 25%[kn] | 16% |
Florida primary
[edit]Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[ko] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[332] | through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 14.1% | 84.2% | 1.7% | Trump +70.1 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Others | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Victory Insights[333] | Dec 8–9, 2023 | 1,220 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 5.3% | 18.8% | 7.6% | – | – | 1.3% | – | 59.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | |||
– | 25.8% | – | – | – | – | – | 56.8% | – | 17.4% | |||||||
Florida Atlantic University Political Communication & Public Opinion Research Lab/ Mainstreet Research[334] |
Oct 27 – November 11, 2023 | 400 (RV) | – | 1% | 20% | 9% | – | – | 0% | – | 61% | 2%[kp] | 6% | |||
– | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 63% | – | 7% | |||||||
University of North Florida[335] | Oct 23 – November 4, 2023 | 788 (LV) | ± 3.77% | 2% | 21% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 60% | <2%[kq] | 8% | |||
– | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | 12% | |||||||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[336] | Oct 1–2, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 2% | 22% | 7% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | 57% | 0% | 7% | |||
Victory Insights[337] | Aug 21–23, 2023 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 4% | 23% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 59% | 1% | 7% | |||
– | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 57% | – | 13% | |||||||
Florida Atlantic University[338] | Jun 27 – July 1, 2023 | 315 (RV) | – | 2% | 30% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 50% | – | 7% | |||
– | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 54% | – | 8% | |||||||
Breakthrough Research/Sachs Media[339] | Jun 9–11, 2023 | – | – | 2% | 41% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 41% | 0%[kr] | 8% | |||
Victory Insights[340] | May 25–27, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.9% | – | 38% | 3% | – | 3% | 0% | 3% | 38% | 4%[ks] | 12% | |||
– | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 21% | |||||||
National Research[341][AE] | May 8–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 34% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 42% | 1%[kt] | 16% | |||
Florida Atlantic University[342] | Apr 13–14, 2023 | 1,081 (RV) | ± 3.0% | – | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | – | |||
Victory Insights[343] | Apr 6–8, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | – | 35% | 3% | 1% | – | 4% | – | 43% | – | 14% | |||
– | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 22% | |||||||
Emerson College[344] | Mar 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | – | 44% | 2% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 47% | 3%[ku] | – | |||
University of North Florida[345] | Feb 25 – March 7, 2023 | 550 (RV) | ± 2.6% | – | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 13% | |||
– | 52% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 0% | 27% | 4%[kv] | 11% | |||||||
Victory Insights[346] | Nov 16–17, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | 10% | |||
WPA Intelligence[347][AF] | Nov 11–13, 2022 | 1,044 (LV) | – | – | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | – | 14% | |||
2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||||
Victory Insights[348] | Oct 30 – November 1, 2022 | 229 (LV) | ± 4.8% | – | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | – | |||
Suffolk University[349] | Sep 15–18, 2022 | 174 (LV) | – | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | – | 12% | |||
Echelon Insights[350] | Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 | 363 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 8% | |||
University of North Florida[351] | Aug 8–12, 2022 | 671 (RV) | ± 3.4% | – | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | 8% | |||
WPA Intelligence[347][AF] | Aug 7–10, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | – | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | – | 9% | |||
Victory Insights[352] | Jul 13–14, 2022 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.1% | – | 61% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 0% | |||
Blueprint Polling (D)[353] | Jul 7–10, 2022 | 656 (V) | ± 3.8% | – | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 10% | |||
Bendixen/Amandi International[354] | March 2022 | – | – | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 55% | – | 13% | |||
University of North Florida[355] | Feb 7–20, 2022 | 259 (RV) | – | – | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | 15% | |||
Suffolk University[356] | Jan 26–29, 2022 | 176 (LV) | – | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | 13% | |||
Victory Insights[357] | Sep 16–18, 2021 | 200 (LV) | – | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | 12% | |||
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[358] | Aug 4–10, 2021 | 280 (RV) | – | 1% | 34% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 43% | 10%[kw] | 8% | |||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[359] | Feb 15–17, 2021 | 304 (LV) | – | – | 64% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22% [kx] | 14% | |||
Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||||
2020 presidential election | ||||||||||||||||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[360] | July 16–18, 2019 | 280 (LV) | – | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44%[ky] | 19% |
Illinois primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cor Strategies[361] | Aug 24–27, 2023 | – | – | 6% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 53% | 2%[kz] | 9% |
6% | 26% | 10% | 10% | 16% | 9% | – | 8%[la] | 16% | ||||
Public Policy Polling[362] | Jun 6–7, 2022 | 677 (LV) | – | 2% | 23% | 3% | 6% | – | 2% | 51% | 5%[lb] | 8% |
Kansas caucus
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Mike Pence |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research[363] | Feb 15–16, 2023 | 1,010 (LV) | 41% | – | – | 33% | – | 26% |
17% | 9% | 9% | 30% | 9%[lc] | 19% | |||
Echelon Insights[364] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 192 (LV) | 37% | – | – | 52% | – | 11% |
Ohio primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[365] | Dec 12–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 11% | 15% | – | – | 3% | – | 61% | – | 4% |
Morning Consult[366] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,881 (LV) | – | 3% | 11% | 8% | 0% | – | 6% | 1% | 69% | 0%[ld] | 2% |
Emerson College/Nexstar, WJW (Cleveland)[367] | Nov 10–13, 2023 | 468 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 1% | – | 6% | 1% | 62% | 1%[le] | 10% |
Morning Consult[366] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 1,893(LV) | – | 2% | 13% | 7% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 62% | 0%[lf] | 1% |
Ohio Northern University[368] | Oct 16–19, 2023 | 269 (LV) | ± 2.15% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 0%[cw] | 4% | 9% | – | 64% | 1%[lg] | 6% |
Morning Consult[366] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,621(LV) | – | 3% | 14% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 60% | 0%[lf] | – |
Morning Consult[366] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,803(LV) | – | 3% | 12% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 61% | 1%[lh] | – |
Morning Consult[366] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,835(LV) | – | 3% | 16% | 2% | 0% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 58% | 0%[li] | 1% |
Ohio Northern University[369] | Jul 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 5% | 64% | 1% | 3% |
Suffolk University[370] | Jul 9–12, 2023 | 190 (RV) | – | 4% | 23% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 48% | 3%[lj] | 8% |
Morning Consult[366] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,711(LV) | – | 2% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 59% | 1%[lk] | 1% |
East Carolina University[371] | Jun 21–24, 2023 | 405 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 4% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 3% | – | 59% | 2% | 10% |
Morning Consult[366] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,792(LV) | – | – | 20% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 60% | 3%[ll] | – |
Morning Consult[366] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,754(LV) | – | – | 21% | 2% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 61% | 4%[lm] | – |
Morning Consult[366] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,827(LV) | – | – | 27% | 4% | – | 7% | 0% | 1% | 56% | 3%[ln] | 2% |
Morning Consult[366] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,573(LV) | – | – | 30% | 4% | – | 9% | 0% | 1% | 50% | 4%[lo] | 2% |
Morning Consult[366] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 2,095(LV) | – | – | 31% | 2% | – | 9% | – | 1% | 50% | 5%[lp] | 2% |
Morning Consult[366] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 1,188 (LV) | – | – | 33% | 2% | – | 8% | – | 1% | 48% | 5%[lq] | 3% |
Echelon Insights[372] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 377 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | 30% | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | 12% | – |
John Bolton Super PAC[373] | Jul 22–24, 2022 | 136 (LV) | – | 2% | 30% | – | – | 9% | – | – | 28% | 16%[lr] | 13% |
Louisiana primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[ew] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[374] | Aug 13–14, 2023 | (LV) | – | 1% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 75% | 0%[ls] | – |
Echelon Insights[375] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 242 (LV) | ± 6.5% | – | 29% | – | – | – | 65% | – | 6% |
New York primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Others | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morning Consult[376] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 1,876 (LV) | – | 4% | 13% | 8% | 0% | – | 5% | 2% | 66% | 1%[lt] | 1% |
Morning Consult[376] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 2,014 (LV) | – | 4% | 12% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 64% | 0%[lu] | – |
Morning Consult[376] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,924 (LV) | – | 3% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 62% | 1%[lv] | – |
Siena College[377] | Sep 10–13, 2023 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 64% | 27% | 8% |
Morning Consult[376] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 2,006 (LV) | – | 4% | 14% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 57% | 0%[lw] | 2% |
Siena College[377] | Aug 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 63% | 32% | 5% |
Morning Consult[376] | July 1–31, 2023 | 1,886 (LV) | – | 4% | 18% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 58% | 1%[lx] | 1% |
Morning Consult[376] | June 1–30, 2023 | 1,856(LV) | – | 3% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 60% | 1%[ly] | 1% |
Siena College[378] | Jun 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 61% | 34% | 5% |
Morning Consult[376] | May 1–31, 2023 | 1,932(LV) | – | – | 17% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 63% | 3%[lz] | – |
Siena College[379] | May 7–11, 2023 | 810 (RV) | ± 4.1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 60% | 32% | 8% |
Morning Consult[376] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 1,792(LV) | – | – | 20% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 59% | 7%[ma] | 1% |
Morning Consult[376] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 1,831(LV) | – | – | 28% | 4% | – | 6% | 0% | 4% | 51% | 6%[mb] | 1% |
Siena College[380] | Mar 19–22, 2023 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.6% | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | 18% | – |
Morning Consult[376] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,410(LV) | – | – | 28% | 4% | – | 8% | 0% | 2% | 51% | 6%[mc] | 1% |
Echelon Insights[381] | Feb 21–23, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | 13% |
Morning Consult[376] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 1,871(LV) | – | – | 34% | 3% | – | 9% | – | 1% | 46% | 9%[md] | – |
Morning Consult[376] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 1,074 (LV) | – | – | 33% | 3% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 44% | 9%[me] | 1% |
Rhode Island primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Donald Trump |
Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights[382] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 102 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 38% | 54% | 8% |
Wisconsin primary
[edit]Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Nikki Haley |
Donald Trump |
Other/ Undecided[mf] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270ToWin[383] | February 7, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 22.5% | 71.5% | 6.0% | Trump +49.0 |
FiveThirtyEight[384] | through February 4, 2024 | February 15, 2024 | 21.1% | 70.9% | 8.0% | Trump +49.8 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Doug Burgum |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[385] | Dec 11–12, 2023 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 5% | 16% | 15% | – | – | 4% | – | 54% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult[386] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 720 (LV) | – | 1% | 2% | 17% | 13% | 1% | – | 6% | 2% | 56% | – | 2% |
Marquette University Law School[387] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 402 (RV) | ± 6.8% | 1% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 38% | 0%[mg] | 24% |
Morning Consult[386] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 713 (LV) | – | 0% | 3% | 15% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 52% | – | 1% |
Morning Consult[386] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 665 (LV) | – | – | 2% | 16% | 9% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 50% | 0%[mh] | 2% |
Morning Consult[386] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 681 (LV) | – | – | 3% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 50% | 0%[mi] | – |
Morning Consult[386] | July 1–31, 2023 | 707 (LV) | – | 0% | 2% | 25% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 46% | 1%[mj] | – |
Morning Consult[386] | June 1–30, 2023 | 666 (LV) | – | – | 2% | 24% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 51% | 1%[mk] | – |
Marquette Law School[388] | June 8–13, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 0% | 1% | 30% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 31% | 0%[ml] | 21% |
Public Policy Polling[389] | June 5–6, 2023 | 507 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 25% | 5% | – | 8% | 2% | 5% | 41% | – | 14% |
– | – | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | 18% | ||||
Morning Consult[386] | May 1–31, 2023 | 728 (LV) | – | – | – | 24% | 4% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 52% | 4%[mm] | – |
Morning Consult[386] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 771 (LV) | – | – | – | 31% | 4% | 0% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 45% | 5%[mn] | 2% |
Morning Consult[386] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 722 (LV) | – | – | – | 35% | 6% | – | 9% | 1% | 2% | 43% | 4%[mo] | – |
Morning Consult[386] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 626 (LV) | – | – | – | 34% | 4% | – | 9% | 0% | 1% | 44% | 7%[mp] | 1% |
Morning Consult[386] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | – | – | 32% | 2% | – | 11% | – | 2% | 42% | 10%[mq] | 1% |
Morning Consult[386] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 558 (LV) | – | – | – | 36% | 4% | – | 9% | – | 1% | 40% | 8%[mr] | 2% |
Pennsylvania primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[390] | Jan 4–8, 2024 | 651 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 6% | 10% | 14% | – | – | 4% | – | 61% | 2%[ms] | 3% |
Morning Consult[391] | Nov 1–30, 2023 | 2,056 (LV) | – | 4% | 14% | 9% | 0% | – | 6% | 1% | 63% | 0%[mt] | 3% |
Morning Consult[391] | Oct 1–31, 2023 | 2,009 (LV) | – | 4% | 15% | 7% | 0% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 59% | 0%[mu] | 1% |
Franklin & Marshall College[392] | Oct 11–22, 2023 | 359 (RV) | ± 6.4% | 4% | 14% | 9% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 55% | 2%[mv] | 7% |
Quinnipiac University[393] | Sep 28 – Oct 2, 2023 | 711 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 4% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 61% | 3%[mw] | 3% |
Morning Consult[391] | Sep 1–30, 2023 | 1,910 (LV) | – | 3% | 14% | 6% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 1% | 58% | 0%[mx] | 2% |
Morning Consult[391] | Aug 1–31, 2023 | 1,979 (LV) | – | 4% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 58% | 0%[my] | 2% |
Franklin & Marshall College[394] | Aug 9–20, 2023 | 297 (RV) | ± 7.0% | 3% | 21% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 39% | 5%[mz] | 8% |
Morning Consult[391] | July 1–31, 2023 | 2,139 (LV) | – | 4% | 20% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 55% | 1%[na] | – |
Morning Consult[391] | June 1–30, 2023 | 2,136 (LV) | – | 3% | 23% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 54% | 1%[nb] | – |
Quinnipiac University[395] | Jun 22–26, 2023 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 5% | 25% | 4% | – | 5% | 1% | 4% | 49% | – | 6% |
Morning Consult[391] | May 1–31, 2023 | 2,062 (LV) | – | – | 22% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 58% | 4%[nc] | – |
Morning Consult[391] | Apr 1–30, 2023 | 2,058 (LV) | – | – | 25% | 3% | 0% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 53% | 6%[nd] | – |
Franklin & Marshall College[396] | Mar 27 – Apr 7, 2023 | 227 (RV) | ± 4.9% | – | 34% | 4% | – | 6% | – | 0% | 40% | 6%[ne] | 11% |
Morning Consult[391] | Mar 1–31, 2023 | 2,103 (LV) | – | – | 30% | 4% | – | 8% | 0% | 1% | 51% | 4%[nf] | 2% |
Public Policy Polling[397] | Mar 9–10, 2023 | 616 (LV) | – | – | 31% | 5% | – | 5% | – | – | 49% | – | 10% |
– | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | – | 13% | ||||
Morning Consult[391] | Feb 1–28, 2023 | 1,769 (LV) | – | – | 32% | 4% | – | 8% | 0% | 1% | 46% | 8%[ng] | 1% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research[398] | Feb 19–26, 2023 | 320 (RV) | ± 3.2% | – | 37% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 1% | 32% | 27%[nh] | – |
Morning Consult[391] | Jan 1–31, 2023 | 2,470 (LV) | – | – | 35% | 2% | – | 10% | – | 1% | 43% | 9%[ni] | – |
Morning Consult[391] | Dec 1–31, 2022 | 1,381 (LV) | – | – | 34% | 2% | – | 10% | – | 1% | 44% | 8%[nj] | 1% |
Communication Concepts[399] | Nov 19–21, 2022 | 639 (RV) | ± 3.9% | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | 4% | 12% |
Echelon Insights[400] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 353 (LV) | – | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | 12% | – |
John Bolton Super PAC[401] | Jul 22–24, 2022 | 129 (LV) | – | 2% | 29% | – | – | 7% | – | – | 40% | 10%[nk] | – |
Indiana primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Mike Pence |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bellwether Research & Consulting[402] | Dec 11–17, 2022 | 457 (LV) | – | 28% | 3% | 13% | 39% | 1%[nl] | 15% |
Maryland primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Larry Hogan |
Mike Pence |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpinionWorks[403] | April 7–10, 2024 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 74% | - | 7% |
Gonzales Research[404] | May 30 – Jun 6, 2023 | 221 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 37% | - | - | - | - | 42% | - | 21% |
co/efficient[405] | Feb 19–20, 2023 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.58% | 27% | 6% | 18% | 1% | 1% | 33% | 2%[nm] | 12% |
– | – | 32% | – | – | 59% | – | 10% | ||||
39% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | 26% | ||||
OpinionWorks[406] | May 27 – Jun 2, 2022 | 428 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 12% | 5% | 25% | 6% | – | 48% | – | – |
West Virginia primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ECU Center for Survey Research[407] | May 22–23, 2023 | 957 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 54% | – | 20% |
Kentucky caucus
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Asa Hutchinson |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[408] | May 10–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 2% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 70% | 3%[nn] | – |
Emerson College[409] | Apr 10–11, 2023 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | 23% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 1% | 62% | 6%[no] | – |
Montana primary
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[k] |
Margin of error |
Chris Christie |
Ron DeSantis |
Nikki Haley |
Mike Pence |
Vivek Ramaswamy |
Tim Scott |
Donald Trump |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[410] | Oct 23–25, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 64% | 2%[np] | 6% |
J.L. Partners[411] | Aug 12–17, 2023 | 418 (LV) | ? | 3% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 52% | 3%[nq] | 12% |
– | 29% | – | – | – | – | 56% | – | 15% | ||||
Public Policy Polling (D)[412] | Jun 19–20, 2023 | 510 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 4% | 23% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 46% | – | 12% |
– | 37% | – | – | – | – | 49% | – | 14% | ||||
Echelon Insights[413] | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 142 (LV) | ± 6.6% | – | 28% | – | – | – | – | 56% | – | 16% |
See also
[edit]- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican National Convention
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
Notes
[edit]- ^ The state-organized primary will be boycotted by the Nevada Republican Party and its results ignored in favor of the party-organized caucus two days later.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Vivek Ramaswamy 6.8%
Chris Christie 3.0%
Ryan Binkley 1.5%
Asa Hutchinson 0.8% - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Ron DeSantis 15.8%
Vivek Ramaswamy 6.4%
Asa Hutchinson 0.7% - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Vivek Ramaswamy 6.8%
Asa Hutchinson 0.8% - ^ Vivek Ramaswamy 5.0%
Chris Christie 3.0% - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Chris Christie 3.0%
Ryan Binkley 1.5% - ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Ryan Binkley with 1%; "None of these" with 2%
- ^ Ryan Binkley and David Stuckenberg with 0%
- ^ Ryan Binkley with 0%; "None of these" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Ryan Binkley with 0%
- ^ The other percentages in this result were increased by redistributing Pence's supporters to their second-choice candidates in the poll
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Ryan Binkley with 0%
- ^ Perry Johnson with 1%
- ^ Ryan Binkley with 2%; Will Hurd and Perry Johnson with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Perry Johnson & Will Hurd with <1%
- ^ Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley with and Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Ryan Binkley, Perry Johnson and "Other" with 1%; Asa Hutchinson and "None of the above" with <0.5%
- ^ Ryan Binkley with 1% and Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Perry Johnson and Will Hurd with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Standard VI response
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Ryan Binkley with 1%; Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Corey Stapleton and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ If Trump did not run in the caucuses
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Ryan Binkley with 1%; Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Corey Stapleton and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%; Ryan Binkley and Francis Suarez with <1%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%
- ^ Ryan Binkley and Perry Johnson with 1%; Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with <1%; Will Hurd with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Franciz Suarez at 1%; Will Hurd at less than 1%
- ^ Francis Saurez with 0%
- ^ Someone else with 3%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 2%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 3%; Rick Perry, Chris Sununu, Perry Johnson, Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Someone else with 2%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 4%, Liz Cheney with 1%, Chris Sununu, John Bolton and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo with 0%
- ^ Perry Johnson with 1%
- ^ Perry Johnson with 4%
- ^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 3%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 6%
- ^ Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 3%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%, Liz Cheney with 0%
- ^ Kristi Noem with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney and Mike Pompeo with 1%, Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Kim Reynolds, Kristi Noem, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio with 1%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 16%; Mitt Romney with 5%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 6%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Ron DeSantis 7.3%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 0%
- ^ Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
- ^ Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder & Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & "Other" with 0%
- ^ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Refused 1%
- ^ Larry Elder and Will Hurd with 1%; Perry Johnson with <1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 3%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Perry Johnson with 2%; Will Hurd with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Francis Suarez with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Calculated by subtracting the candidates' percentages from 100; the source does not give a number
- ^ Suarez with 0%
- ^ Undecided, Other & Refused
- ^ Chris Sununu with 17%; "Undecided, Other & Refused" with 15%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 12%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; John Bolton and Marco Rubio with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 10%; Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 14%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristy Noem with 0%; Other with 2%.
- ^ Chris Sununu with 7%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 13%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney, Chris Sununu and Larry Hogan with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
- ^ Chris Sununu, Rand Paul and Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
- ^ Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Other" with 9%
- ^ Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem and Marco Rubio with 2%; Mitt Romney with 1%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 0%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 13%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 0%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 15%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mike Pompeo with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Tom Cotton and Marco Rubio with 2%; Tucker Carlson with 1%
- ^ Donald Trump Jr. with 14%; Ted Cruz with 10%; Mitt Romney with 8%; Tom Cotton with 6%; Tucker Carlson and Marco Rubio with 4%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Ron DeSantis 10.5%
Vivek Ramaswamy 5.0%
Chris Christie 3.0% - ^ Ryan Binkley with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum & Larry Elder with 1%; Will Hurd & Perry Johnson with 0%
- ^ Other, undecided, and refused
- ^ Chris Sununu with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 5%; Mike Pompeo and Marco Rubio with 1%; Larry Hogan with 0%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Listed as undecided and other
- ^ Listed as undecided/other
- ^ Someone Else with 1.5%; Refused with 0.6%
- ^ a b No voters
- ^ Perry Johnson & Someone Else with 0%; Larry Elder with no voters
- ^ a b Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & Perry Johnson with less than 0.5%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Pery Johnson, Francis Suarez and Ryan Binkley with 0%
- ^ Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Francis Suarez, "Other" and "None of the above" with <0.5%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%, Chris Sununu with 1% Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 9%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 5%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Glenn Youngkin, Greg Abbott, and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo and Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem, Greg Abbott, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Josh Hawley with 7%
- ^ Josh Hawley with 6%; "Someone else" with 17%
- ^ Josh Hawley with 29%; Ivanka Trump with 13%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Burgum at 1%
- ^ Kristi Noem at 1%; Perry Johnson at 0% and Glenn Youngkin at 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Kristi Noem & "Would not vote" with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 1.7%; Glenn Youngkin with <1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Chris Sununu with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 7%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Chris Sununu with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem, Chris Sununu with 1%; Perry Johnson and John Bolton with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Chris Sununu and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Neither with 6%
- ^ Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio and Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 12%; Donald Trump Jr. with 11%; Ivanka Trump with 7%; Marco Rubio with 6%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Doug Burgum with 3%; Vivek Ramaswamy with 2%; Chris Christie with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 3%; "Someone else" with 8%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Ryan Binkley with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Corey Stapleton with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson & "Someone else" with 1%; Corey Stapleton with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, Kristi Noem, and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ "Someone Else" with 2%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Marco Rubio with 5%; Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 2%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 6%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 11%; Mike Pompeo with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 2%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%
- ^ Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 9%; Marco Rubio with 3%; "Someone else" with 4%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Doug Burgum with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Glenn Youngkin with 2%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 3%; Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 0%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 4%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Marco Rubio, Mike Pompeo with 1%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 7%; Donald Trump Jr. with 6%; Mitt Romney and Marco Rubio with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; "Someone else" with 4%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ a b Francis Suarez and Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ "Anyone/Any of them" & "No one/None of them" with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd, "Someone else" & "Anyone" with 1%; "No one" with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 2%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%
- ^ Will Hurd with 3%
- ^ Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 3%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 2%; Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 6%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 4%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 2%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 4%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 7%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 7%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 7%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 7%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem & Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 7%; Ted Cruz with 4%; Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem & Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%
- ^ Greg Abbott with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 12%; Greg Abbott with 8%; Glen Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Greg Abbott and Marco Rubio with 2%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 6%; Greg Abbott with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 8%; Greg Abbott with 6%; Kristi Noem with 2%
- ^ Tim Scott with 2%
- ^ Glen Youngkin with 1%
- ^ Marco Rubio with 3%
- ^ a b Kristi Noem with 3%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 11%; Liz Cheney with 5%; Asa Hutchinson with 2%
- ^ "None of these candidates" with 7%; "Someone else not listed" with 3%; Larry Elder and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; "Another candidate" with 9%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 7%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Asa Hutchinson with 1%; and "Another candidate" with 5%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 11%; Ted Cruz with 4%; and "Another candidate" with 9%
- ^ Marco Rubio with 3%; Larry Hogan and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu and Asa Hutchinson with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 9%; Ted Cruz with 3%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 6%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Glenn Youngkin at 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo and Kanye West at 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 16%; Ted Cruz with 6%; Other with 8%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 20%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Liz Cheney and Marco Rubio with 1%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 21%; Ted Cruz with 8%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 6%
- ^ Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem, and Greg Abbott with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem, Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
- ^ Larry Hogan with 5%; Mike Pompeo with 2%
- ^ Donald Trump Jr. with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%
- ^ Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo with 0%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Francis Suarez with 1%; Will Hurd and Larry Elder with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney and Greg Abbott with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Glenn Youngkin, and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Brian Kemp with 7%
- ^ Liz Cheney and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Mike Pompeo, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 2%; and Mike Pompeo and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz, Liz Cheney, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem, Greg Abbott, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 8%; Ted Cruz with 5%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 6%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 9%; Mike Pompeo with 4%; Kristi Noem with 2%
- ^ Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters
- ^ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 14%; would not vote with 4%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 5%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Mitt Romney with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 15%; Mitt Romney with 6%; Marco Rubio with 3%; "Other" with 7%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Someone else not listed" & "None of these candidates" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson & Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez and Perry Johnson with 0%; "Someone else" with 9%
- ^ Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Francis Suarez, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, and "Someone Else not Listed" with 0%; "None of these Candidates" with 7%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu, and Larry Hogan with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%; "None of these Candidates" with 9%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 10%; Donald Trump Jr. with 8%; Mitt Romney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Other with 2%; Doug Burgum with <1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Doug Burgum with <1%
- ^ Elder with 0%
- ^ Someone else with 4%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 1%
- ^ Someone else with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu with 0%
- ^ Mitt Romney with 5%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%
- ^ Marco Rubio with 12%; Rick Scott with 10%
- ^ Marco Rubio with 26%; Rick Scott with 18%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Asa Hutchinson with 1%; "Another candidate" with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 3%; Asa Hutchinson with 1%; "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Marco Rubio with 1%; Josh Hawley with 0%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 9%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 1%
- ^ a b Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Some Other Candidate at 1%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Doug Burgum and Francis Saurez with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Larry Elder, Will Hurd and Perry Johnson with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Greg Abbott, Doug Burgum, Liz Cheney, Will Hurd, Kristi Noem, and Francis Saurez with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 7%; Liz Cheney with 6%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Nikki Haley with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 1%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 1%; Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Doug Burgum and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz and Kristi Noem with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 5%; Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Larry Elder with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott with 0%
- ^ Larry Elder with <0.5%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz, Mike Pompeo, and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz and Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 4%; Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem with 1%; Mike Pompeo and Greg Abbott with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" & "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
- ^ Doug Burgum with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd & Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum, "Wouldn't vote" & "Refused" with 1%; Larry Elder, Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, and Francis Suarez with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Francis Suarez with 1%; Doug Burgum & Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Francis Suarez with 1%; Doug Burgum, and Will Hurd with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Doug Burgum, and Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Someone else" with 4%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Marco Rubio with 0%; "Someone else" with 24%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
- ^ Liz Cheney with 6%; Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 0%; "Someone else" with 12%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 1%
- ^ Mike Pompeo with 2%
- ^ Chris Sununu with 0%; "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Kristi Noem with 1%; "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ "Doug Burgum & Asa Hutchinson with 1%; Larry Elder with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Larry Elder, Asa Hutchinson & Francis Suarez with 0%
Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register, NBC News & Mediacom Iowa
- ^ Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Make America Great Again Inc. (Super Pac)
- ^ Poll sponsored by And To The Republic, a non-profit with ties to DeSantis
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens Awareness Project
- ^ Poll sponsored by Make America Great Again Inc. super PAC, which supports Trump
- ^ Poll sponsored by American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce
- ^ Poll commissioned by Republican Main Street Partnership
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Trump campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Never Back Down PAC, which supports DeSantis.
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by Club for Growth
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
- ^ Poll commissioned by Republican Main Street Partnership
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC, which supports Trump.
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Courageous Conservatives PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by the John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Greatness PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
- ^ Poll commissioned by MIRS
- ^ Poll sponsored by Alabama Families for Great Schools
- ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB
- ^ Poll conducted for the John Locke Foundation
- ^ Poll conducted for the North Carolina Chamber of Commerce
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Texas Political Project at the University of Texas
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v Poll sponsored by Defend Texas Liberty PAC
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Republican Party of Texas
- ^ Poll sponsored by Never Back Down PAC, which supports DeSantis
- ^ Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
References
[edit]- ^ "RNC Announces Criteria and Date for First Debate in Milwaukee". Republican National Committee. June 2, 2023. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
- ^ Cohen, Ethan (August 1, 2023). "RNC to impose stricter criteria for candidates to make the second debate stage in September". CNN. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ Steinhauser, Paul (September 21, 2023). "RNC raising the bar for candidates to make the stage at November's third debate". Fox News. Retrieved September 21, 2023.
- ^ The Green Papers (November 15, 2023). "The Green Papers – Presidential Primaries 2024 – Republican Pledged and Unpledged Delegate Summary". The Green Papers. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
- ^ Iowa
- ^ Massachusetts
- ^ New Hampshire
- ^ South Carolina
- ^ Wisconsin
- ^ Arizona
- ^ California
- ^ Florida
- ^ Georgia
- ^ Iowa
- ^ Massachusetts
- ^ Michigan
- ^ New Hampshire
- ^ North Carolina
- ^ Ohio
- ^ Pennsylvania
- ^ South Carolina
- ^ Tennessee
- ^ Texas
- ^ Virginia
- ^ Wisconsin
- ^ Iowa
- ^ Nevada
- ^ New Hampshire
- ^ South Carolina
- ^ 270toWin
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ RealClearPolling
- ^ Trafalgar Group
- ^ Selzer & Co.
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Civiqs
- ^ InsiderAdvantage
- ^ Fox Business
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Iowa State University/Civiqs
- ^ Selzer & Co.
- ^ Trafalgar Group
- ^ a b Morning Consult
- ^ Iowa State University/Civiqs
- ^ Arc Insights
- ^ a b Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
- ^ Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ Selzer & Co.
- ^ Iowa State University/Civiqs
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Morning Consult
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
- ^ Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Fox Business
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Civiqs
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
- ^ a b Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ HarrisX
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Selzer & Co.
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
- ^ Manhattan Institute
- ^ National Research
- ^ Fox Business
- ^ co/efficient
- ^ National Research
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates
- ^ National Research
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ WPA Intelligence
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ National Research
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Cygnal
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ a b WPA Intelligence
- ^ Neighborhood Research and Media
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ 270 to Win
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ RealClearPolling
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ University of New Hampshire Survey/CNN
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ American Research Group
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ Trafalgar Group
- ^ Americans for Prosperity
- ^ University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNN
- ^ Washington Post/Monmouth University
- ^ Emerson College/WHDH
- ^ USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk University
- ^ CBS News/YouGov
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ NMB Research
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ co/efficient
- ^ Manhattan Institute
- ^ National Research
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ National Research
- ^ American Pulse
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ New Hampshire Journal/co-efficient
- ^ National Research
- ^ National Research
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ J.L Partners
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ co/efficient
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ Neighborhood Research and Media
- ^ a b WPA Intelligence
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ Neighborhood Research and Media
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ University of New Hampshire
- ^ Saint Anselm College
- ^ "Victory Insights" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 18, 2023. Retrieved March 18, 2023.
- ^ Praecones Analytica
- ^ RealClearPolling
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates
- ^ SSRS/CNN
- ^ National Research
- ^ National Research
- ^ Vote TXT
- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research
- ^ 270toWin
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ RealClearPolling
- ^ Trafalgar Group
- ^ Suffolk University/USA Today
- ^ Emerson College/The Hill
- ^ Insider Advantage
- ^ Trafalgar Group
- ^ The Citadel
- ^ Winthrop University
- ^ Washington Post/Monmouth University
- ^ a b Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
- ^ The Tyson Group/The American Promise
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Trafalgar Group
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ Fox Business
- ^ Washington Post/Monmouth University
- ^ Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Fox Business
- ^ National Public Affairs
- ^ National Research
- ^ National Public Affairs
- ^ National Public Affairs
- ^ Winthrop University
- ^ Neighbourhood Research and Media
- ^ Trafalgar Group
- ^ Moore Information
- ^ Spry Strategies
- ^ Winthrop University
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Trafalgar Group
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Emerson College/The Hill
- ^ Michigan Information and Research Service (MIRS)
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Susquehanna University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Mitchell Research
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Glengariff Group
- ^ Remington Research
- ^ Remington Research[permanent dead link ]
- ^ Remington Research
- ^ Remington Research
- ^ Cygnal/Alabama Daily News
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ Cygnal/Alabama Daily News
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Morning Consult
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ Data Viewpoint
- ^ California's Choice
- ^ UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Public Policy Institute of California
- ^ UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ UC Berkeley IGS
- ^ Digital Research Inc.
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ 270ToWin
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ YouGov
- ^ UMass-Amherst
- ^ Opinion Diagnostics
- ^ UMass-Amherst
- ^ 270ToWin
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Capen Analytics
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ ECU Center for Survey Research
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ a b Meredith College
- ^ Opinion Diagnostics
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Differentiators Data
- ^ Differentiators Data
- ^ John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ Atlantic Polling Strategies
- ^ Spry Strategies
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ Cygnal (R)
- ^ BUSR/UNLV Lee Business School
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ C.H.S. & Associates
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Amber Integrated
- ^ Targoz Market Research
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ The Beacon Center
- ^ Vanderbilt University
- ^ Vanderbilt University
- ^ YouGov
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ YouGov
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ a b "CWS Research" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 15, 2023. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- ^ a b CWS Research
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ a b CWS Research
- ^ a b CWS Research
- ^ a b CWS Research
- ^ a b CWS Research
- ^ a b CWS Research
- ^ CWS Research
- ^ Dan Jones & Associates
- ^ Dan Jones & Associates
- ^ Dan Jones & Associates
- ^ Noble Perspective Insights
- ^ Dan Jones & Associates
- ^ Dan Jones & Associates
- ^ Dan Jones & Associates
- ^ WPA Intelligence
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ Dan Jones & Associates
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ Dan Jones & Associates
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Morning Consult
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ Differentiators
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ Roanoke College
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ CNN/SSRS
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ Zogby Analytics
- ^ 20/20 Insights
- ^ University of Georgia
- ^ Landmark Communications
- ^ University of Georgia
- ^ WPA Intelligence
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Phillips Academy
- ^ John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ Spry Strategies
- ^ Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ University of Nevada/BUSR
- ^ Mississippi Today/Siena College
- ^ Mississippi Today/Siena College
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ a b Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ OH Predictive Insights
- ^ "Blueprint Polling" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 14, 2023. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ "OH Predictive Insights". Archived from the original on December 20, 2022. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Florida Atlantic University
Political Communication & Public Opinion Research Lab/
Mainstreet Research - ^ University of North Florida
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Breakthrough Research/Sachs Media
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ National Research
- ^ Florida Atlantic University
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ University of North Florida
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ a b WPA Intelligence
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ "University of North Florida" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on February 19, 2023. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Blueprint Polling (D)
- ^ Bendixen/Amandi International
- ^ "University of North Florida" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on July 6, 2022. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
- ^ Cor Strategies
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Remington Research
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ Emerson College/Nexstar, WJW (Cleveland)
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ Ohio Northern University
- ^ "Suffolk University" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on July 20, 2023. Retrieved July 20, 2023.
- ^ East Carolina University
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ a b Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ 270ToWin
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ Marquette University Law School
- ^ Marquette Law School
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Morning Consult
- ^ Franklin & Marshall College
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Franklin & Marshall College
- ^ Quinnipiac University
- ^ Franklin & Marshall College
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research
- ^ Communication Concepts
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ Bellwether Research & Consulting
- ^ OpinionWorks
- ^ Gonzales Research
- ^ co/efficient
- ^ OpinionWorks
- ^ ECU Center for Survey Research
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
- ^ J.L. Partners
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Echelon Insights